Sul-Matogrossense · Mar 18, 2026 23:30
Operário Ferroviário
PWR 35
PWR 35
VS
Corumbaense
PWR 0
PWR 0
47%
25%
28%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Operário Ferroviário Win
Score
?
Confidence
55%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (18%)2-0 (14%)0-0 (11%)1-1 (11%)2-1 (8%)3-0 (8%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
37%
Under 2.5
63%
63%
BTTS
No 35%
Over 3.5
16%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense0
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Operário Ferro…
WDWWD
STABLE
Corumbaense
LWDWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk31%
Accuracy56%
FORM_MOMENTUMHOME_STREAK
Limited data available (Tier 3)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateHome team draws 40% at home = very high riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesCombined DR 65% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (31.1%) - VETO 1X2 | Tier 3 data without strong odds (need 85%+)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.59
Operário Ferro…vs
0.59
CorumbaenseGoal Probability
Operário Fe…
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4
5%
Corumbaense
0
55%
1
33%
2
10%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (16%)1-1 (13%)0-0 (12%)2-0 (11%)0-1 (10%)2-1 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 88% | 12% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 62% | 38% | - |
| 2.5 | 35% | 65% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 16% | 84% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#2
Operário Fe…+1
Gap#3
Corumbaense
WR 60% 17 pts
WR 20% 13 pts
Operário Ferro…
16.0%
| Mar 15 | Operári… v Corumba… | 1-2 |
| Mar 12 | Operári… v Vila No… | 1-1 |
| Feb 28 | Operári… v Batagua… | 3-2 |
| Feb 25 | Operári… v ASA | 1-2 |
| Feb 22 | Operári… v Navirai… | 0-0 |
| Feb 11 | Operári… v Costa R… | 0-0 |
| Feb 08 | Operári… v Dourado… | 1-1 |
| Feb 05 | Operári… v Águia N… | 1-1 |
| Feb 01 | Operári… v Ivinhema | 1-3 |
| Jan 28 | Operári… v Cr Aqui… | 3-0 |
Corumbaense
14.0%
| Mar 15 | Corumba… v Operári… | 1-2 |
| Mar 11 | Corumba… v Dourado… | 2-0 |
| Mar 08 | Corumba… v Dourado… | 1-1 |
| Mar 01 | Corumba… v Costa R… | 0-2 |
| Feb 21 | Corumba… v Dourado… | 2-0 |
| Feb 15 | Corumba… v Águia N… | 1-1 |
| Feb 11 | Corumba… v Ivinhema | 1-0 |
| Feb 07 | Corumba… v Cr Aqui… | 1-1 |
| Feb 04 | Corumba… v Portugu… | 1-1 |
| Jan 31 | Corumba… v Batagua… | 2-3 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Mar 15, 2026 | Corumbaense | 1-2 | Operário Ferr… |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Corumbaense | 0-0 | Operário Ferr… |
Decision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
80%
Standings
64%
Market
50%
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Operário Ferroviário in strong form (3W in last 5)
Corumbaense in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.