Premier League · Mar 20, 2026 11:00
Atyrau
PWR 35
Atyrau
PWR 35
VS
Zhenys
PWR 0
PWR 0
49%
24%
27%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Atyrau Win
Score
?
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (28%)0-0 (20%)2-0 (20%)3-0 (9%)1-1 (6%)0-1 (4%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
21%
Under 2.5
79%
79%
BTTS
No
No 14%
Over 3.5
51%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense0
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Atyrau
DDDLL
STABLE
Zhenys
LDLLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk31%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_LEAKING
Limited data available (Tier 3)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateHome team draws 100% at home = very high riskHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesCombined DR 125% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (31.1%) - VETO 1X2 | Tier 3 data without strong odds (need 85%+)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.40
Atyrauvs
0.20
ZhenysGoal Probability
Atyrau
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
Zhenys
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
3-0 (11%)2-0 (11%)4-0 (9%)3-1 (8%)2-1 (8%)1-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 98% | 2% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 89% | 11% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 72% | 28% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 51% | 49% | - |
| 4.5 | 32% | 68% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 18% | 82% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 9% | 92% | UNDER |
League Position
#11
Atyrau-4
Gap#7
Zhenys
WR 0% 1 pts
WR 0% 1 pts
Atyrau
6.0%
| Mar 16 | Atyrau v Irtysh | 1-1 |
| Mar 08 | Atyrau v Ulytau | 0-0 |
| Feb 05 | Atyrau v Makhach… | 0-0 |
| Jan 30 | Atyrau v Wisla K… | 3-1 |
| Oct 26 | Atyrau v Yelimay… | 3-2 |
| Oct 18 | Atyrau v Zhetysu | 1-1 |
| Sep 27 | Atyrau v Ulytau | 1-5 |
| Sep 13 | Atyrau v FK Tobo… | 1-0 |
Zhenys
2.0%
| Mar 16 | Zhenys v Ordabasy | 0-2 |
| Mar 08 | Zhenys v Kaisar | 1-1 |
| Feb 19 | Zhenys v KAMAZ | 4-1 |
| Feb 16 | Zhenys v Slavia … | 2-0 |
| Feb 12 | Zhenys v Fakel V… | 5-1 |
| Feb 04 | Zhenys v Rubin | 2-0 |
| Sep 13 | Zhenys v Ordabasy | 2-1 |
| May 30 | Zhenys v Ordabasy | 2-2 |
| Oct 26 | Zhenys v Ordabasy | 1-2 |
| Jun 23 | Zhenys v Ordabasy | 1-3 |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
83%
Standings
42%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Zhenys struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.