Premier League · Mar 21, 2026 09:00
Okzhetpes
PWR 35
Okzhetpes
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Ulytau
PWR 35
PWR 35
43%
25%
32%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (35%)1-0 (30%)2-0 (13%)0-1 (7%)1-1 (6%)3-0 (4%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
9%
Under 2.5
91%
91%
BTTS
No
No 10%
Over 3.5
47%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Okzhetpes
DWLLL
STABLE
Ulytau
WDDLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateHome team draws 100% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskCombined DR 125% = 50.7% draw rateElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.0
Expected Goals (xG)
0.86
Okzhetpesvs
0.20
UlytauGoal Probability
Okzhetpes
0
42%
1
36%
2
16%
3
5%
4
1%
Ulytau
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (9%)2-1 (9%)1-2 (7%)2-2 (7%)1-0 (6%)3-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 97% | 3% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 87% | 13% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 69% | 32% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 47% | 53% | - |
| 4.5 | 28% | 72% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 15% | 85% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 7% | 93% | UNDER |
League Position
#9
Okzhetpes+3
Gap#12
Ulytau
WR 0% 1 pts
WR 0% 1 pts
Okzhetpes
6.0%
| Mar 07 | Okzhetp… v Yelimay… | 1-1 |
| Oct 26 | Okzhetp… v Turan T… | 4-3 |
| Oct 19 | Okzhetp… v Ordabasy | 7-1 |
| Sep 28 | Okzhetp… v FC Asta… | 1-2 |
| Sep 13 | Okzhetp… v Kyzyl-Z… | 3-1 |
| Jul 17 | Okzhetp… v Kaspiy | 0-1 |
| Jun 14 | Okzhetp… v Kaspiy | 1-0 |
| Aug 26 | Okzhetp… v Kaspiy | 3-3 |
| Apr 15 | Okzhetp… v Kaspiy | 2-1 |
| Nov 21 | Okzhetp… v Kaspiy | 2-1 |
Ulytau
8.0%
| Mar 16 | Ulytau v Kyzyl-Z… | 1-0 |
| Mar 08 | Ulytau v Atyrau | 0-0 |
| Feb 19 | Ulytau v Samgura… | 2-2 |
| Feb 11 | Ulytau v Meshakh… | 0-1 |
| Jan 25 | Ulytau v Shinnik… | 1-0 |
| Oct 26 | Ulytau v FK Tobo… | 2-2 |
| Oct 18 | Ulytau v Kaisar | 1-1 |
| Sep 27 | Ulytau v Atyrau | 1-5 |
| Sep 20 | Ulytau v Aktobe | 2-1 |
| Aug 09 | Ulytau v Kyzyl-Z… | 1-1 |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
69%
Standings
55%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Okzhetpes struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.