Premier League · Mar 21, 2026 12:00
Aktobe
PWR 35
Aktobe
PWR 35
8-1
predicted
Yelimay Semey
PWR 35
PWR 35
47%
25%
28%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Aktobe Win
Score
8-1
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
3-1 (7%)2-1 (7%)3-2 (6%)2-2 (6%)1-1 (5%)3-0 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
75%
75%
Under 2.5
25%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 76%
Over 3.5
62%
62%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Aktobe
LWLLL
STABLE
Yelimay Semey
DDLLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy38%
POSITION_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)Points within 3 = 32.1% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (25.8%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
3.02
Aktobevs
1.59
Yelimay SemeyGoal Probability
Aktobe
0
5%
1
15%
2
22%
3
22%
4
17%
Yelimay Sem…
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4
5%
CORRECT SCORES
1-2 (8%)2-2 (7%)1-3 (6%)1-1 (6%)2-3 (6%)2-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 93% | 7% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 80% | 20% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 62% | 38% | - |
| 4.5 | 42% | 58% | - |
| 5.5 | 26% | 74% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 14% | 86% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
Aktobe+9
Gap#10
Yelimay Sem…
WR 100% 3 pts
WR 0% 1 pts
Aktobe
4.0%
| Mar 16 | Aktobe v Kairat … | 1-0 |
| Mar 07 | Aktobe v FK Tobo… | 4-1 |
| Feb 21 | Aktobe v PFC Soc… | 3-0 |
| Feb 08 | Aktobe v Rotor V… | 2-0 |
| Jan 18 | Aktobe v BanĂk O… | 0-3 |
| Oct 26 | Aktobe v Ordabasy | 2-2 |
| Oct 19 | Aktobe v FC Asta… | 5-3 |
| Sep 27 | Aktobe v Kyzyl-Z… | 1-0 |
| Sep 20 | Aktobe v Ulytau | 2-1 |
| Sep 14 | Aktobe v Kairat … | 1-0 |
Yelimay Semey
4.0%
| Mar 16 | Yelimay… v Altay | 1-1 |
| Mar 07 | Yelimay… v Okzhetp… | 1-1 |
| Feb 08 | Yelimay… v Lokomot… | 2-0 |
| Jan 27 | Yelimay… v Krasnod… | 2-1 |
| Jan 20 | Yelimay… v Žilina | 0-4 |
| Oct 26 | Yelimay… v Atyrau | 3-2 |
| Oct 18 | Yelimay… v Turan T… | 3-6 |
| Sep 28 | Yelimay… v Ordabasy | 2-1 |
| Aug 23 | Yelimay… v Kyzyl-Z… | 2-0 |
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
86%
Standings
78%
Market
50%
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Aktobe struggling (4L in last 5)
Yelimay Semey struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.