Tocantinense · Mar 21, 2026 18:45
Tocantinópolis
PWR 59
Tocantinópolis
PWR 59
2-1
predicted
Capital
PWR 46
PWR 46
59%
22%
19%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Tocantinópolis Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
68%
TierGOLD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (23%)2-0 (22%)3-0 (14%)0-0 (12%)1-1 (5%)2-1 (4%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5
67%
67%
BTTS
No
No 15%
Over 3.5
17%
Team Comparison
46Attack46
75Defense57
Goals/G
1.31.3
Conc/G
0.71.2
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Tocantinópolis
WWLWW
STABLE
Capital
LLDWD
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy73%
FORM_MOMENTUMFORM_DOMINANTPOINTS_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (26.6%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.89
Tocantinópolisvs
0.20
CapitalGoal Probability
Tocantinópo…
0
15%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
Capital
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (19%)2-0 (14%)0-0 (12%)1-1 (11%)2-1 (8%)3-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 88% | 12% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 63% | 37% | - |
| 2.5 | 36% | 64% | - |
| 3.5 | 17% | 84% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
Tocantinópo…+2
Gap#3
Capital
WR 57% 68 pts
WR 34% 43 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tocantinópolis | 35 | 20 | 8 | 7 | 46 | 25 | 68 |
| Capital | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 42 | 39 | 43 |
Tocantinópolis
16.0%
| Mar 14 | Tocanti… v Capital | 1-2 |
| Mar 07 | Tocanti… v Capital | 2-1 |
| Mar 04 | Tocanti… v Tuna Lu… | 4-1 |
| Feb 21 | Tocanti… v Gurupi | 0-2 |
| Feb 15 | Tocanti… v Palmeir… | 0-1 |
| Feb 07 | Tocanti… v Araguaí… | 1-0 |
| Jan 31 | Tocanti… v Guarabi… | 2-0 |
| Jan 24 | Tocanti… v Bela Vi… | 2-0 |
| Jan 17 | Tocanti… v União C… | 0-0 |
| Mar 26 | Tocanti… v União C… | 0-0 |
Capital
8.0%
| Mar 14 | Capital v Tocanti… | 1-2 |
| Mar 07 | Capital v Tocanti… | 2-1 |
| Feb 21 | Capital v Palmeir… | 1-1 |
| Feb 14 | Capital v União C… | 3-2 |
| Feb 07 | Capital v Gurupi | 1-1 |
| Feb 01 | Capital v Bela Vi… | 1-0 |
| Jan 24 | Capital v Guarabi… | 1-3 |
| Jan 17 | Capital v Araguaí… | 1-1 |
| Apr 23 | Capital v Remo | 1-1 |
| Apr 23 | Capital v Remo | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Mar 14, 2026 | Capital | 1-2 | Tocantinópolis |
| Mar 07, 2026 | Tocantinópolis | 2-1 | Capital |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Capital | 2-3 | Tocantinópolis |
| Mar 24, 2024 | Tocantinópolis | 1-0 | Capital |
| Mar 19, 2024 | Capital | 2-3 | Tocantinópolis |
| Feb 21, 2024 | Capital | 2-1 | Tocantinópolis |
| Feb 15, 2024 | Tocantinópolis | 1-0 | Capital |
| Apr 09, 2023 | Tocantinópolis | 4-3 | Capital |
| Apr 02, 2023 | Capital | 1-2 | Tocantinópolis |
| Mar 12, 2023 | Capital | 0-0 | Tocantinópolis |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
89%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Tocantinópolis in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.