CAF Champions League · Mar 22, 2026 16:00

Stade Malien Bamako
PWR 35
2-1
predicted

Mamelodi Sundowns FC
PWR 35
23% 29% 48%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Mamelodi Sundowns FC Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (26%)1-0 (22%)0-1 (13%)1-1 (11%)2-0 (9%)2-1 (5%)
All Markets
1X2 Suggested
H
Over 2.5
16%
Under 2.5 84%
84%
BTTS No
No 23%
Over 3.5
11%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Stade Malien B… LLLDW
DOWN
Mamelodi Sundo… WWWWW
UP
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_FORM_MOMENTUM
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateAway draws 67% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 92% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (29.4%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
0.86
Stade Malien B…
vs
0.50
Mamelodi Sundo…
Goal Probability
Stade Malie…
0
42%
1
36%
2
16%
3
5%
4
1%
Mamelodi Su…
0
61%
1
30%
2
8%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-1 (23%)0-0 (17%)0-2 (16%)1-1 (9%)0-3 (7%)1-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 83% 17% OVER
1.5 53% 47% -
2.5 26% 74% UNDER
3.5 11% 89% UNDER
4.5 4% 97% UNDER
5.5 1% 99% UNDER
6.5 0% 100% UNDER
League Position
#1
Stade Malie…
+1
Gap
#2
Mamelodi Su…
WR 100% 11 pts WR 0% 9 pts
Stade Malien B… 6.0%
Mar 13 Stade M… v Mamelod… 3-0
Mar 04 Stade M… v Binga 4-0
Mar 01 Stade M… v Réal Ba… 0-1
Feb 22 Stade M… v Bakarid… 0-0
Feb 19 Stade M… v USFAS B… 0-1
Feb 14 Stade M… v Simba 1-0
Feb 08 Stade M… v ES Tunis 1-0
Jan 31 Stade M… v Petro d… 0-0
Jan 25 Stade M… v Petro d… 2-0
Jan 17 Stade M… v Mali Co… 0-2
Mamelodi Sundo… 20.0%
Mar 13 Mamelod… v Stade M… 3-0
Mar 10 Mamelod… v Orbit C… 0-2
Mar 04 Mamelod… v Golden … 2-1
Mar 01 Mamelod… v Sekhukh… 3-1
Feb 24 Mamelod… v Amazulu 0-1
Feb 21 Mamelod… v TS Gala… 2-0
Feb 18 Mamelod… v Orlando… 1-2
Feb 14 Mamelod… v MC Alger 2-0
Feb 08 Mamelod… v Saint E… 1-1
Feb 04 Mamelod… v Gomora … 2-1
Head-to-Head (1)
Mar 13, 2026 Mamelodi Sund… 3-0 Stade Malien …
Decision Breakdown
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player
40%
Momentum
64%
Standings
82%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Mamelodi Sundowns FC in strong form (5W in last 5)
Stade Malien Bamako struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.