Bundesliga · Mar 20, 2026 18:30
Sturm Graz
PWR 35
RB Salzburg
PWR 35
Sturm Graz
PWR 35
2-2
predicted
RB Salzburg
PWR 35
57%
23%
20%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Sturm Graz Win
Score
2-2
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (32%)1-0 (30%)2-0 (14%)0-1 (6%)1-1 (6%)3-0 (4%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
11%
Under 2.5
89%
89%
BTTS
No
No 11%
Over 3.5
15%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Sturm Graz
WWDWL
STABLE
RB Salzburg
LLWLD
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 3/10 draws (30%) = HIGH riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (29.2%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.94
Sturm Grazvs
0.20
RB SalzburgGoal Probability
Sturm Graz
0
39%
1
37%
2
17%
3
5%
4
1%
RB Salzburg
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (16%)0-0 (13%)1-1 (13%)0-1 (10%)2-0 (10%)2-1 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 87% | 13% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 61% | 39% | - |
| 2.5 | 34% | 66% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 15% | 85% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
Sturm Graz+1
Gap#2
RB Salzburg
WR 46% 38 pts
WR 46% 37 pts
Sturm Graz
14.0%
| Mar 15 | Sturm G… v Austria… | 2-5 |
| Mar 08 | Sturm G… v SCR Alt… | 2-0 |
| Mar 01 | Sturm G… v Wolfsbe… | 2-2 |
| Feb 22 | Sturm G… v FC BW L… | 1-0 |
| Feb 14 | Sturm G… v WSG Wat… | 1-0 |
| Feb 08 | Sturm G… v Ried | 1-0 |
| Feb 01 | Sturm G… v SCR Alt… | 3-1 |
| Jan 29 | Sturm G… v Brann | 1-0 |
| Jan 22 | Sturm G… v Feyenoo… | 3-0 |
| Jan 08 | Sturm G… v Club Br… | 2-2 |
RB Salzburg
6.0%
| Mar 15 | RB Salz… v Rapid W… | 0-1 |
| Mar 08 | RB Salz… v Rapid W… | 1-0 |
| Mar 06 | RB Salz… v SKU Ams… | 0-2 |
| Mar 04 | RB Salz… v SCR Alt… | 0-1 |
| Mar 03 | RB Salz… v Rapid W… | 1-1 |
| Mar 01 | RB Salz… v TSV Har… | 0-0 |
| Feb 28 | RB Salz… v Florids… | 0-1 |
| Feb 22 | RB Salz… v LASK Li… | 1-5 |
| Feb 15 | RB Salz… v Grazer … | 1-1 |
| Feb 06 | RB Salz… v Austria… | 0-2 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Nov 09, 2025 | Sturm Graz | 1-1 | RB Salzburg |
| Sep 20, 2025 | RB Salzburg | 0-2 | Sturm Graz |
| May 09, 2025 | Sturm Graz | 4-2 | RB Salzburg |
| Apr 13, 2025 | RB Salzburg | 1-2 | Sturm Graz |
| Mar 02, 2025 | RB Salzburg | 3-1 | Sturm Graz |
| Oct 06, 2024 | Sturm Graz | 5-0 | RB Salzburg |
| Apr 28, 2024 | RB Salzburg | 2-2 | Sturm Graz |
| Apr 04, 2024 | RB Salzburg | 3-4 | Sturm Graz |
| Mar 31, 2024 | Sturm Graz | 0-1 | RB Salzburg |
| Feb 09, 2024 | RB Salzburg | 1-1 | Sturm Graz |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
71%
Standings
52%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Sturm Graz in strong form (3W in last 5)
RB Salzburg struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.