UEFA Europa League · Mar 19, 2026 20:00
Aston Villa
PWR 35
Lille
PWR 37
Aston Villa
PWR 35
1-0
predicted
Lille
PWR 37
33%
27%
40%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
ELITE: Aston Villa to win (95% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
95%
TierELITE
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (25%)0-1 (24%)0-2 (11%)1-0 (11%)1-1 (10%)1-2 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
16%
Under 2.5
84%
84%
BTTS
No
No 22%
Over 3.5
5%
Team Comparison
0Attack51
100Defense55
Goals/G
0.01.7
Conc/G
0.01.5
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Aston Villa
LWLLD
STABLE
Lille
WLDWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): UEFA Europa League
Expected Goals (xG)
0.44
Aston Villavs
0.94
LilleGoal Probability
Aston Villa
0
64%
1
28%
2
6%
3
1%
4
0%
Lille
0
39%
1
37%
2
17%
3
5%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (25%)0-1 (21%)1-0 (14%)1-1 (12%)0-2 (9%)1-2 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 75% | 25% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 41% | 59% | - |
| 2.5 | 17% | 83% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#2
Aston Villa+16
Gap#18
Lille
WR 100% 21 pts
WR 25% 12 pts
Aston Villa
6.0%
| Mar 15 | Aston V… v Manches… | 3-1 |
| Mar 12 | Aston V… v Lille | 0-1 |
| Mar 04 | Aston V… v Chelsea | 1-4 |
| Feb 27 | Aston V… v Wolves | 2-0 |
| Feb 21 | Aston V… v Leeds | 1-1 |
| Feb 14 | Aston V… v Newcast… | 1-3 |
| Feb 11 | Aston V… v Brighton | 1-0 |
| Feb 07 | Aston V… v Bournem… | 1-1 |
| Feb 01 | Aston V… v Brentfo… | 0-1 |
| Jan 29 | Aston V… v RB Salz… | 3-2 |
Lille
14.0%
| Mar 15 | Lille v Rennes … | 1-2 |
| Mar 12 | Lille v Aston V… | 0-1 |
| Mar 08 | Lille v Lorient | 1-1 |
| Mar 01 | Lille v Nantes | 1-0 |
| Feb 26 | Lille v FK Crve… | 0-1 |
| Feb 22 | Lille v Angers | 0-1 |
| Feb 19 | Lille v FK Crve… | 0-1 |
| Feb 14 | Lille v Stade B… | 1-1 |
| Feb 06 | Lille v Metz | 0-0 |
| Feb 01 | Lille v Lyon | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Mar 12, 2026 | Lille | 0-1 | Aston Villa |
| Apr 18, 2024 | Lille | 2-1 | Aston Villa |
| Apr 11, 2024 | Aston Villa | 2-1 | Lille |
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)TOP3vsBot (75.8%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)TOP3_VS_REL (80.8%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player
40%
Momentum
44%
Standings
94%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Lille in strong form (3W in last 5)
Aston Villa struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.