USL Championship · Mar 21, 2026 20:00
Louisville City FC
PWR 71
Louisville City FC
PWR 71
4-1
predicted
Rhode Island
PWR 52
PWR 52
49%
24%
27%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Louisville City FC Win
Score
4-1
Confidence
37%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (20%)1-0 (18%)3-0 (15%)0-0 (8%)2-1 (6%)1-1 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
43%
Under 2.5
57%
BTTS
No
No 21%
Over 3.5
20%
Team Comparison
68Attack44
71Defense71
Goals/G
1.91.2
Conc/G
0.80.8
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Louisville Citā¦
WWWWL
UP
Rhode Island
DWWLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk24%
Accuracy38%
POINTS_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)Elevated draw risk (23.6%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need PREMIUM+, got SKIP/1 rules)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.24
Louisville Citā¦vs
0.27
Rhode IslandGoal Probability
Louisville ā¦
0
11%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4
11%
Rhode Island
0
76%
1
21%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (15%)1-1 (12%)2-0 (11%)0-0 (10%)2-1 (9%)0-1 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 90% | 10% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 67% | 33% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 40% | 60% | - |
| 3.5 | 20% | 80% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#2
Louisville ā¦+7
Gap#9
Rhode Island
WR 73% 78 pts
WR 41% 57 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisville Ciā¦ | 33 | 24 | 6 | 3 | 64 | 27 | 78 |
| Rhode Island | 37 | 15 | 12 | 10 | 46 | 31 | 57 |
Louisville Citā¦
16.0%
| Mar 14 | Louisviā¦ v Miami FC | 4-1 |
| Mar 07 | Louisviā¦ v Lexingtā¦ | 1-2 |
| Feb 27 | Louisviā¦ v One Knoā¦ | 2-0 |
| Feb 22 | Louisviā¦ v FC Cincā¦ | 0-6 |
| Feb 15 | Louisviā¦ v Seattleā¦ | 3-1 |
| Feb 05 | Louisviā¦ v Coloradā¦ | 0-0 |
| Feb 03 | Louisviā¦ v New Mexā¦ | 1-4 |
| Jan 28 | Louisviā¦ v Austin | 1-0 |
| Nov 01 | Louisviā¦ v Detroitā¦ | 0-1 |
| Oct 25 | Louisviā¦ v Hartforā¦ | 1-0 |
Rhode Island
14.0%
| Mar 14 | Rhode Iā¦ v Sportinā¦ | 1-1 |
| Feb 07 | Rhode Iā¦ v Sarasotā¦ | 2-1 |
| Nov 18 | Rhode Iā¦ v Kazakhsā¦ | 1-0 |
| Nov 14 | Rhode Iā¦ v AS Roma | 3-1 |
| Nov 09 | Rhode Iā¦ v North Cā¦ | 0-2 |
| Nov 02 | Rhode Iā¦ v Charlesā¦ | 0-0 |
| Oct 25 | Rhode Iā¦ v New Mexā¦ | 2-1 |
| Oct 18 | Rhode Iā¦ v North Cā¦ | 0-0 |
| Oct 12 | Rhode Iā¦ v Czech Rā¦ | 2-1 |
| Oct 11 | Rhode Iā¦ v Tampa Bā¦ | 5-0 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Sep 06, 2025 | Rhode Island | 0-1 | Louisville Ciā¦ |
| Jun 12, 2025 | Louisville Ciā¦ | 2-1 | Rhode Island |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Louisville Ciā¦ | 0-3 | Rhode Island |
Decision Breakdown
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
93%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
Key Factors
Louisville City FC in strong form (4W in last 5)
Rhode Island in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.