USL Championship · Mar 21, 2026 23:00
Indy Eleven
PWR 41
Detroit City
PWR 45
Indy Eleven
PWR 41
2-1
predicted
Detroit City
PWR 45
43%
25%
32%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Indy Eleven to win (60% confidence)
Score
2-1
Confidence
60%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (25%)0-0 (18%)2-0 (17%)1-1 (8%)3-0 (8%)0-1 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
24%
Under 2.5
76%
76%
BTTS
No
No 20%
Over 3.5
7%
Team Comparison
47Attack38
41Defense64
Goals/G
1.31.1
Conc/G
1.71.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Indy Eleven
LDWLW
STABLE
Detroit City
WLDDW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk31%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 4% = 35.1% draw rateH2H: 1/3 draws (33%) = HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw risk
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.0
Expected Goals (xG)
1.38
Indy Elevenvs
0.32
Detroit CityGoal Probability
Indy Eleven
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
Detroit City
0
73%
1
23%
2
4%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (21%)0-1 (18%)1-0 (15%)1-1 (13%)0-2 (7%)2-0 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 79% | 21% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 46% | 55% | - |
| 2.5 | 20% | 80% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 7% | 93% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#17
Indy Eleven+2
Gap#19
Detroit City
WR 33% 41 pts
WR 29% 38 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indy Eleven | 36 | 12 | 5 | 19 | 48 | 61 | 41 |
| Detroit City | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 34 | 32 | 38 |
Indy Eleven
10.0%
| Mar 08 | Indy El… v Brooklyn | 1-0 |
| Feb 27 | Indy El… v Forward… | 0-0 |
| Feb 20 | Indy El… v St. Lou… | 3-1 |
| Oct 26 | Indy El… v Orange … | 2-1 |
| Oct 19 | Indy El… v Loudoun… | 2-1 |
| Oct 11 | Indy El… v Pittsbu… | 2-1 |
| Oct 04 | Indy El… v Louisvi… | 2-0 |
| Sep 27 | Indy El… v FC UFA | 2-1 |
| Sep 21 | Indy El… v Birming… | 2-1 |
| Sep 13 | Indy El… v Rhode I… | 1-0 |
Detroit City
12.0%
| Mar 14 | Detroit… v Brooklyn | 3-0 |
| Feb 07 | Detroit… v FC Cinc… | 1-0 |
| Feb 04 | Detroit… v Sportin… | 2-2 |
| Nov 09 | Detroit… v Pittsbu… | 0-0 |
| Nov 01 | Detroit… v Louisvi… | 0-1 |
| Oct 25 | Detroit… v Tampa B… | 1-1 |
| Oct 18 | Detroit… v Charles… | 1-1 |
| Oct 11 | Detroit… v Loudoun… | 0-1 |
| Oct 04 | Detroit… v North C… | 2-0 |
| Sep 27 | Detroit… v Louisvi… | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Aug 09, 2025 | Detroit City | 1-0 | Indy Eleven |
| May 03, 2025 | Indy Eleven | 2-2 | Detroit City |
| May 22, 2024 | Indy Eleven | 3-0 | Detroit City |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
81%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.