USL Championship · Mar 22, 2026 00:00
FC Tulsa
PWR 56
Las Vegas Lights
PWR 33
FC Tulsa
PWR 56
2-1
predicted
Las Vegas Lights
PWR 33
51%
24%
25%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
FC Tulsa Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
55%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (18%)2-0 (18%)1-0 (12%)0-0 (4%)3-1 (4%)2-1 (4%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
55%
Under 2.5
45%
BTTS
No
No 17%
Over 3.5
23%
Team Comparison
44Attack36
76Defense41
Goals/G
1.31.0
Conc/G
0.71.7
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
FC Tulsa
DLWDW
STABLE
Las Vegas Ligh…
LDLWD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy56%
FORM_MOMENTUMFORM_DOMINANT
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (29.2%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
3.09
FC Tulsavs
0.20
Las Vegas Ligh…Goal Probability
FC Tulsa
0
5%
1
14%
2
22%
3
22%
4
17%
Las Vegas L…
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (18%)1-0 (18%)3-0 (13%)0-0 (9%)2-1 (7%)1-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 91% | 9% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 70% | 30% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 44% | 56% | - |
| 3.5 | 23% | 77% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#21
FC Tulsa-3
Gap#18
Las Vegas L…
WR 47% 34 pts
WR 23% 39 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Tulsa | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 24 | 13 | 34 |
| Las Vegas Lig… | 40 | 9 | 12 | 19 | 41 | 68 | 39 |
FC Tulsa
12.0%
| Mar 15 | FC Tulsa v San Ant… | 0-0 |
| Mar 08 | FC Tulsa v Sacrame… | 2-0 |
| Feb 28 | FC Tulsa v Union O… | 2-0 |
| Feb 14 | FC Tulsa v San Ant… | 0-0 |
| Feb 07 | FC Tulsa v North T… | 3-0 |
| Nov 22 | FC Tulsa v Pittsbu… | 0-0 |
| Nov 16 | FC Tulsa v New Mex… | 3-0 |
| Nov 02 | FC Tulsa v Colorad… | 1-0 |
| Oct 26 | FC Tulsa v Colorad… | 3-0 |
| Oct 12 | FC Tulsa v San Ant… | 2-0 |
Las Vegas Ligh…
8.0%
| Mar 14 | Las Veg… v Colorad… | 3-2 |
| Mar 08 | Las Veg… v Orange … | 1-1 |
| Feb 27 | Las Veg… v York 9 … | 1-0 |
| Feb 20 | Las Veg… v Dominic… | 0-1 |
| Oct 26 | Las Veg… v Montere… | 1-1 |
| Oct 19 | Las Veg… v Colorad… | 1-0 |
| Oct 12 | Las Veg… v Oakland… | 2-2 |
| Oct 05 | Las Veg… v Rhode I… | 3-1 |
| Sep 28 | Las Veg… v Pittsbu… | 1-0 |
| Sep 20 | Las Veg… v Louisvi… | 3-1 |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.