Super League · Mar 21, 2026 07:30

Beijing Guoan
PWR 35
1-0
predicted

Shanghai Shenhua
PWR 35
47% 25% 28%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Beijing Guoan to win (63% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
63%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (18%)2-0 (18%)3-0 (12%)0-0 (9%)1-1 (8%)2-1 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
41%
Under 2.5
59%
BTTS No
No 29%
Over 3.5
42%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Beijing Guoan LWLWL
STABLE
Shanghai Shenh… DWLLD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateBoth teams low-scoring = 37.8% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw risk
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.3
Expected Goals (xG)
1.96
Beijing Guoan
vs
0.42
Shanghai Shenh…
Goal Probability
Beijing Guo…
0
14%
1
28%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
Shanghai Sh…
0
66%
1
28%
2
6%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (11%)2-1 (9%)3-0 (9%)1-0 (9%)3-1 (8%)1-1 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 96% 4% OVER
1.5 84% 16% OVER
2.5 64% 36% -
3.5 42% 58% -
4.5 24% 76% UNDER
5.5 12% 88% UNDER
6.5 5% 95% UNDER
League Position
#8
Beijing Guo…
+6
Gap
#14
Shanghai Sh…
WR 0% -2 pts WR 0% -7 pts
Beijing Guoan 8.0%
Mar 14 Beijing… v Shandon… 1-0
Mar 08 Beijing… v Wuhan T… 0-2
Dec 11 Beijing… v Macarth… 1-2
Dec 06 Beijing… v Henan FC 2-0
Nov 27 Beijing… v Công An… 2-1
Nov 22 Beijing… v Meizhou… 0-0
Nov 06 Beijing… v Wofoo T… 3-0
Nov 01 Beijing… v Changch… 0-4
Oct 26 Beijing… v Qingdao… 2-4
Oct 23 Beijing… v Wofoo T… 3-3
Shanghai Shenh… 8.0%
Mar 14 Shangha… v Zhejian… 1-1
Mar 07 Shangha… v Dalian … 5-3
Feb 17 Shangha… v Buriram… 2-0
Feb 10 Shangha… v Machida… 0-2
Jan 26 Shangha… v Rodina … 1-1
Dec 10 Shangha… v Sanfrec… 1-0
Nov 26 Shangha… v Vissel … 0-2
Nov 22 Shangha… v Tianjin… 0-1
Nov 05 Shangha… v Johor D… 3-1
Oct 31 Shangha… v Sichuan… 1-0
Head-to-Head (2)
Jul 19, 2025 Beijing Guoan 1-3 Shanghai Shen…
Mar 01, 2025 Shanghai Shen… 2-2 Beijing Guoan
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
87%
Standings
59%
Market
50%
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Beijing Guoan struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.