Primera DivisiĂłn - Apertura · Mar 16, 2026 20:00
Danubio
PWR 35
Juventud
PWR 35
Danubio
PWR 35
4-1
predicted
Juventud
PWR 35
47%
25%
28%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Danubio Win
Score
4-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-1 (8%)3-1 (8%)2-0 (7%)3-0 (7%)1-1 (6%)2-2 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.4x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.92x
Over 2.5
70%
70%
Under 2.5
30%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 66%
Over 3.5
19%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Danubio
DDLWW
STABLE
Juventud
LWDLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Home team draws 50% at home = very high riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesCombined DR 75% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (28.1%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.95
Danubiovs
1.19
JuventudGoal Probability
Danubio
0
5%
1
15%
2
23%
3
22%
4
17%
Juventud
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (14%)1-1 (13%)0-0 (10%)0-1 (10%)2-0 (9%)2-1 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 90% | 10% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 66% | 34% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 39% | 61% | - |
| 3.5 | 19% | 81% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#9
Danubio+5
Gap#14
Juventud
WR 50% 8 pts
WR 0% 4 pts
Danubio
12.0%
| Mar 07 | Danubio v Peñarol… | 1-1 |
| Feb 28 | Danubio v Progreso | 2-2 |
| Feb 21 | Danubio v Racing … | 4-0 |
| Feb 15 | Danubio v Boston … | 2-0 |
| Feb 09 | Danubio v Cerro | 0-1 |
| Jan 12 | Danubio v Boston … | 1-0 |
| Nov 08 | Danubio v Plaza C… | 2-0 |
| Nov 02 | Danubio v Racing … | 1-2 |
| Oct 26 | Danubio v River P… | 0-1 |
| Oct 17 | Danubio v Boston … | 0-0 |
Juventud
10.0%
| Mar 13 | Juventud v Indepen… | 2-1 |
| Mar 08 | Juventud v Club Na… | 3-1 |
| Mar 06 | Juventud v Indepen… | 1-1 |
| Mar 02 | Juventud v Deporti… | 2-1 |
| Feb 26 | Juventud v Club Gu… | 1-2 |
| Feb 22 | Juventud v Central… | 0-1 |
| Feb 19 | Juventud v Club Gu… | 0-0 |
| Feb 17 | Juventud v Atletic… | 2-2 |
| Feb 13 | Juventud v Univers… | 3-4 |
| Feb 08 | Juventud v Cerro L… | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Aug 10, 2025 | Danubio | 2-1 | Juventud |
| Jun 21, 2025 | Juventud | 3-1 | Danubio |
| Feb 09, 2025 | Juventud | 2-2 | Danubio |
| Oct 13, 2021 | Danubio | 0-1 | Juventud |
| Jul 01, 2021 | Juventud | 0-1 | Danubio |
Decision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
90%
Standings
70%
Market
50%
High draw risk (47%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.