First League · Mar 22, 2026 13:00
Shinnik Yaroslavl
PWR 35
Spartak Kostroma
PWR 35
PWR 35
2-0
predicted
Shinnik Yaroslavl
PWR 35
39%
26%
35%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Spartak Kostroma Win
Score
2-0
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (14%)3-0 (13%)1-0 (10%)2-1 (8%)3-1 (7%)1-1 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
58%
Under 2.5
42%
BTTS
No 40%
Over 3.5
28%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Spartak Kostro…
DDDLD
STABLE
Shinnik Yarosl…
DWLWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk34%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Home team draws 50% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw rateHome team drew 4/5 recent gamesAway draws 45% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 95% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (33.8%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.71
Spartak Kostro…vs
0.56
Shinnik Yarosl…Goal Probability
Spartak Kos…
0
7%
1
18%
2
24%
3
22%
4
15%
Shinnik Yar…
0
57%
1
32%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (12%)0-1 (9%)1-0 (9%)1-2 (8%)2-1 (8%)0-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 93% | 7% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 74% | 26% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 50% | 50% | - |
| 3.5 | 28% | 72% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 13% | 87% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#4
Spartak Kos…+6
Gap#10
Shinnik Yar…
WR 25% 37 pts
WR 9% 30 pts
Spartak Kostro…
8.0%
| Mar 14 | Spartak… v Chayka | 1-1 |
| Mar 07 | Spartak… v Chelyab… | 3-3 |
| Feb 28 | Spartak… v Rotor V… | 1-1 |
| Nov 30 | Spartak… v Torpedo… | 0-1 |
| Nov 22 | Spartak… v Ural | 1-1 |
| Nov 17 | Spartak… v Rodina … | 0-2 |
| Nov 10 | Spartak… v Fakel V… | 3-2 |
| Nov 02 | Spartak… v Chernom… | 3-1 |
| Oct 25 | Spartak… v Shinnik… | 2-2 |
| Oct 19 | Spartak… v Enisey | 1-0 |
Shinnik Yarosl…
10.0%
| Mar 15 | Shinnik… v Enisey | 1-1 |
| Mar 09 | Shinnik… v FC UFA | 1-0 |
| Mar 02 | Shinnik… v Rodina … | 2-1 |
| Jan 25 | Shinnik… v Ulytau | 1-0 |
| Nov 28 | Shinnik… v Chernom… | 2-1 |
| Nov 23 | Shinnik… v FK Soko… | 0-0 |
| Nov 16 | Shinnik… v Chayka | 4-1 |
| Nov 09 | Shinnik… v Rotor V… | 3-0 |
| Nov 01 | Shinnik… v Chelyab… | 1-0 |
| Oct 25 | Shinnik… v Spartak… | 2-2 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Oct 25, 2025 | Shinnik Yaros… | 2-2 | Spartak Kostr… |
Decision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
64%
Market
50%
High draw risk (29%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.