First League · Mar 22, 2026 05:00
SKA Khabarovsk
PWR 35
Arsenal Tula
PWR 35
SKA Khabarovsk
PWR 35
1-0
predicted
Arsenal Tula
PWR 35
55%
23%
22%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: SKA Khabarovsk to win (58% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
58%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (12%)1-0 (10%)2-1 (9%)0-1 (8%)1-2 (7%)2-0 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
49%
Under 2.5
51%
BTTS
Yes 54%
Over 3.5
10%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
SKA Khabarovsk
DLWWL
STABLE
Arsenal Tula
LLLDD
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk34%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateHome team draws 50% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskCombined DR 83% = 50.7% draw rate
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.0
Expected Goals (xG)
1.45
SKA Khabarovskvs
1.22
Arsenal TulaGoal Probability
SKA Khabaro…
0
24%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
4%
Arsenal Tula
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (18%)1-0 (18%)0-1 (13%)1-1 (13%)2-0 (9%)2-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 82% | 18% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 51% | 49% | - |
| 2.5 | 25% | 76% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 10% | 91% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#8
SKA Khabaro…+3
Gap#11
Arsenal Tula
WR 33% 33 pts
WR 33% 29 pts
SKA Khabarovsk
10.0%
| Mar 14 | SKA Kha… v Rodina … | 2-2 |
| Mar 07 | SKA Kha… v Chernom… | 3-0 |
| Mar 01 | SKA Kha… v Chayka | 1-3 |
| Feb 17 | SKA Kha… v Zenit 2 | 1-0 |
| Jan 28 | SKA Kha… v Jedinst… | 1-2 |
| Nov 29 | SKA Kha… v FK Soko… | 0-2 |
| Nov 23 | SKA Kha… v KAMAZ | 1-1 |
| Nov 15 | SKA Kha… v Enisey | 1-1 |
| Nov 09 | SKA Kha… v Ural | 0-2 |
| Nov 03 | SKA Kha… v FK Neft… | 1-1 |
Arsenal Tula
4.0%
| Mar 15 | Arsenal… v Ural | 2-0 |
| Mar 09 | Arsenal… v Volga U… | 0-1 |
| Mar 05 | Arsenal… v Lokomot… | 1-2 |
| Feb 27 | Arsenal… v KAMAZ | 1-1 |
| Nov 30 | Arsenal… v FK Neft… | 0-0 |
| Nov 25 | Arsenal… v Rubin | 0-0 |
| Nov 22 | Arsenal… v Chernom… | 1-1 |
| Nov 16 | Arsenal… v FC UFA | 1-2 |
| Nov 08 | Arsenal… v Chayka | 1-0 |
| Nov 03 | Arsenal… v Rotor V… | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Sep 03, 2025 | Arsenal Tula | 3-1 | SKA Khabarovsk |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
55%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Arsenal Tula struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.