MLS Next Pro · Mar 23, 2026 02:00

Tacoma Defiance
PWR 35
1-1
predicted

Austin II
PWR 35
47% 25% 28%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (14%)1-1 (13%)0-0 (12%)0-1 (11%)2-0 (8%)2-1 (8%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
35%
Under 2.5 65%
65%
BTTS
No 42%
Over 3.5
49%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Tacoma Defiance DLDWW
STABLE
Austin II WDLWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateHome team drew 2/5 recent games
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.18
Tacoma Defiance
vs
0.93
Austin II
Goal Probability
Tacoma Defi…
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4
3%
Austin II
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
5%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (9%)1-2 (8%)2-1 (8%)2-2 (7%)0-1 (5%)1-0 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 97% 3% OVER
1.5 87% 13% OVER
2.5 70% 30% OVER
3.5 49% 52% -
4.5 29% 71% UNDER
5.5 16% 84% UNDER
6.5 7% 93% UNDER
League Position
#12
Tacoma Defi…
-2
Gap
#10
Austin II
WR 0% 1 pts WR 0% 1 pts
Tacoma Defiance 12.0%
Mar 15 Tacoma … v San Jos… 0-0
Mar 08 Tacoma … v Houston… 4-0
Mar 02 Tacoma … v Los Ang… 2-2
Oct 05 Tacoma … v Houston… 5-1
Sep 28 Tacoma … v San Jos… 0-1
Sep 22 Tacoma … v Colorad… 1-4
Sep 18 Tacoma … v Houston… 1-2
Sep 13 Tacoma … v Austin … 1-2
Sep 05 Tacoma … v Whiteca… 1-3
Sep 01 Tacoma … v Real Mo… 3-0
Austin II 10.0%
Mar 16 Austin … v North T… 1-0
Mar 09 Austin … v LA Gala… 2-2
Mar 02 Austin … v Minneso… 2-4
Oct 05 Austin … v San Jos… 1-2
Sep 27 Austin … v Portlan… 1-2
Sep 20 Austin … v St. Lou… 1-2
Sep 13 Austin … v Tacoma … 1-2
Sep 05 Austin … v Minneso… 1-0
Aug 30 Austin … v Los Ang… 1-0
Aug 23 Austin … v LA Gala… 2-1
Head-to-Head (1)
Sep 13, 2025 Tacoma Defian… 1-2 Austin II
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
46%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.