MLS Next Pro · Mar 23, 2026 02:00

Tacoma Defiance
PWR 35

Austin II
PWR 35

Tacoma Defiance
PWR 35
1-1
predicted

Austin II
PWR 35
47%
25%
28%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (14%)1-1 (13%)0-0 (12%)0-1 (11%)2-0 (8%)2-1 (8%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
35%
Under 2.5
65%
65%
BTTS
No 42%
Over 3.5
49%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Tacoma Defiance
DLDWW
STABLE
Austin II
WDLWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateHome team drew 2/5 recent games
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.18
Tacoma Defiancevs
0.93
Austin IIGoal Probability
Tacoma Defi…
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4
3%
Austin II
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
5%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (9%)1-2 (8%)2-1 (8%)2-2 (7%)0-1 (5%)1-0 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 97% | 3% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 87% | 13% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 70% | 30% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 49% | 52% | - |
| 4.5 | 29% | 71% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 16% | 84% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 7% | 93% | UNDER |
League Position
#12
Tacoma Defi…-2
Gap#10
Austin II
WR 0% 1 pts
WR 0% 1 pts
Tacoma Defiance
12.0%
| Mar 15 | Tacoma … v San Jos… | 0-0 |
| Mar 08 | Tacoma … v Houston… | 4-0 |
| Mar 02 | Tacoma … v Los Ang… | 2-2 |
| Oct 05 | Tacoma … v Houston… | 5-1 |
| Sep 28 | Tacoma … v San Jos… | 0-1 |
| Sep 22 | Tacoma … v Colorad… | 1-4 |
| Sep 18 | Tacoma … v Houston… | 1-2 |
| Sep 13 | Tacoma … v Austin … | 1-2 |
| Sep 05 | Tacoma … v Whiteca… | 1-3 |
| Sep 01 | Tacoma … v Real Mo… | 3-0 |
Austin II
10.0%
| Mar 16 | Austin … v North T… | 1-0 |
| Mar 09 | Austin … v LA Gala… | 2-2 |
| Mar 02 | Austin … v Minneso… | 2-4 |
| Oct 05 | Austin … v San Jos… | 1-2 |
| Sep 27 | Austin … v Portlan… | 1-2 |
| Sep 20 | Austin … v St. Lou… | 1-2 |
| Sep 13 | Austin … v Tacoma … | 1-2 |
| Sep 05 | Austin … v Minneso… | 1-0 |
| Aug 30 | Austin … v Los Ang… | 1-0 |
| Aug 23 | Austin … v LA Gala… | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Sep 13, 2025 | Tacoma Defian… | 1-2 | Austin II |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
46%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.