Liga Nacional · Mar 22, 2026 21:00
CD Marathon
PWR 35
Victoria
PWR 39
CD Marathon
PWR 35
2-1
predicted
Victoria
PWR 39
55%
23%
22%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
CD Marathon Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
55%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (12%)3-0 (12%)1-0 (9%)2-1 (8%)3-1 (7%)1-1 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
61%
61%
Under 2.5
39%
BTTS
No 44%
Over 3.5
31%
Team Comparison
0Attack44
100Defense44
Goals/G
0.01.3
Conc/G
0.01.6
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
CD Marathon
WDWLD
STABLE
Victoria
LLLLW
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk30%
Accuracy56%
AWAY_LEAKINGPOINTS_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)H2H: 5/10 draws (50%) = VERY HIGH riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (29.8%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.90
CD Marathonvs
0.62
VictoriaGoal Probability
CD Marathon
0
6%
1
16%
2
23%
3
22%
4
16%
Victoria
0
54%
1
33%
2
10%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (13%)1-0 (13%)2-1 (10%)3-0 (9%)1-1 (9%)3-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 94% | 6% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 77% | 23% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 54% | 47% | - |
| 3.5 | 31% | 69% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 16% | 85% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 7% | 93% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 3% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#2
CD Marathon+4
Gap#6
Victoria
WR 47% 164 pts
WR 26% 95 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CD Marathon | 96 | 45 | 29 | 22 | 147 | 91 | 164 |
| Victoria | 87 | 23 | 26 | 38 | 110 | 140 | 95 |
CD Marathon
12.0%
| Mar 14 | CD Mara… v Lobos U… | 2-0 |
| Mar 11 | CD Mara… v Atlétic… | 0-0 |
| Mar 01 | CD Mara… v CD Olim… | 2-1 |
| Feb 27 | CD Mara… v Génesis | 1-2 |
| Feb 21 | CD Mara… v Olancho | 1-1 |
| Feb 15 | CD Mara… v CD Mota… | 1-1 |
| Feb 13 | CD Mara… v Platens… | 2-2 |
| Feb 08 | CD Mara… v Real Es… | 0-1 |
| Jan 31 | CD Mara… v Victoria | 0-0 |
| Jan 29 | CD Mara… v Jutical… | 3-0 |
Victoria
4.0%
| Mar 16 | Victoria v Platens… | 2-3 |
| Mar 12 | Victoria v Real Es… | 4-1 |
| Mar 08 | Victoria v GĂ©nesis | 2-4 |
| Mar 01 | Victoria v Jutical… | 1-0 |
| Feb 25 | Victoria v Olancho | 2-1 |
| Feb 22 | Victoria v Atlétic… | 2-1 |
| Feb 16 | Victoria v CD Olim… | 2-1 |
| Feb 12 | Victoria v Lobos U… | 2-2 |
| Feb 08 | Victoria v CD Mota… | 1-1 |
| Jan 31 | Victoria v CD Mara… | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Jan 31, 2026 | Victoria | 0-0 | CD Marathon |
| Sep 27, 2025 | CD Marathon | 2-2 | Victoria |
| Jul 25, 2025 | CD Marathon | 0-3 | Victoria |
| May 10, 2025 | CD Marathon | 0-0 | Victoria |
| May 08, 2025 | Victoria | 0-0 | CD Marathon |
| Mar 13, 2025 | Victoria | 1-4 | CD Marathon |
| Jan 25, 2025 | CD Marathon | 0-1 | Victoria |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Victoria | 3-0 | CD Marathon |
| Jul 27, 2024 | CD Marathon | 2-2 | Victoria |
| Apr 26, 2024 | Victoria | 1-0 | CD Marathon |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Victoria struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.