Liga Nacional · Mar 22, 2026 23:15
CD Motagua
PWR 35
Real Espana
PWR 35
CD Motagua
PWR 35
VS
Real Espana
PWR 35
61%
22%
17%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
CD Motagua Win
Score
?
Confidence
68%
TierGOLD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (23%)2-0 (19%)0-0 (14%)3-0 (10%)1-1 (7%)2-1 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
30%
Under 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
No
No 21%
Over 3.5
62%
62%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
CD Motagua
WWDWW
STABLE
Real Espana
LWDDL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy73%
FORM_MOMENTUMAWAY_LEAKINGHOME_STREAK
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateBoth teams low-scoring = 37.8% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 3/10 draws (30%) = HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (32.3%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.63
CD Motaguavs
0.31
Real EspanaGoal Probability
CD Motagua
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4
6%
Real Espana
0
73%
1
23%
2
4%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
3-0 (10%)4-0 (9%)2-0 (9%)3-1 (8%)4-1 (7%)2-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 93% | 7% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 80% | 20% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 62% | 38% | - |
| 4.5 | 43% | 57% | - |
| 5.5 | 26% | 74% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 14% | 86% | UNDER |
League Position
#2
CD Motagua+1
Gap#3
Real Espana
WR 0% 0 pts
WR 0% 0 pts
CD Motagua
18.0%
| Mar 11 | CD Mota… v Lobos U… | 2-0 |
| Mar 08 | CD Mota… v Atlétic… | 1-3 |
| Mar 01 | CD Mota… v Olancho | 1-1 |
| Feb 25 | CD Mota… v Jutical… | 1-2 |
| Feb 23 | CD Mota… v CD Olim… | 0-1 |
| Feb 15 | CD Mota… v CD Mara… | 1-1 |
| Feb 11 | CD Mota… v Génesis | 0-5 |
| Feb 08 | CD Mota… v Victoria | 1-1 |
| Feb 01 | CD Mota… v Real Es… | 2-2 |
| Jan 30 | CD Mota… v Platens… | 2-0 |
Real Espana
8.0%
| Mar 14 | Real Es… v Olancho | 3-0 |
| Mar 12 | Real Es… v Victoria | 4-1 |
| Mar 08 | Real Es… v CD Olim… | 1-1 |
| Mar 02 | Real Es… v Platens… | 2-2 |
| Feb 25 | Real Es… v Los Ang… | 1-0 |
| Feb 21 | Real Es… v Lobos U… | 4-3 |
| Feb 18 | Real Es… v Los Ang… | 1-6 |
| Feb 15 | Real Es… v Atlétic… | 2-1 |
| Feb 12 | Real Es… v Jutical… | 1-1 |
| Feb 08 | Real Es… v CD Mara… | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Feb 01, 2026 | Real Espana | 2-2 | CD Motagua |
| Dec 24, 2025 | Real Espana | 1-1 | CD Motagua |
| Dec 14, 2025 | CD Motagua | 0-3 | Real Espana |
| Nov 24, 2025 | Real Espana | 1-2 | CD Motagua |
| Sep 01, 2025 | CD Motagua | 3-2 | Real Espana |
| May 17, 2025 | Real Espana | 2-0 | CD Motagua |
| May 15, 2025 | CD Motagua | 1-0 | Real Espana |
| Apr 27, 2025 | CD Motagua | 1-1 | Real Espana |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Real Espana | 2-0 | CD Motagua |
| Dec 15, 2024 | CD Motagua | 1-0 | Real Espana |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
84%
Standings
52%
Market
50%
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
CD Motagua in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.