J1 League · Mar 18, 2026 10:30
Machida Zelvia
PWR 35
Kashima
PWR 35
Machida Zelvia
PWR 35
4-1
predicted
Kashima
PWR 35
43%
25%
32%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Machida Zelvia Win
Score
4-1
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (7%)3-1 (6%)2-0 (4%)2-1 (4%)3-2 (3%)1-0 (2%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.43x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.93x
Over 2.5
61%
61%
Under 2.5
39%
BTTS
Yes 60%
Over 3.5
28%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Machida Zelvia
DWDWD
STABLE
Kashima
LWDWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy38%
FORM_MOMENTUM
Full data available (Tier 1)Similar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (26.6%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
Machida Zelviavs
0.93
KashimaGoal Probability
Machida Zel…
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Kashima
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
5%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (13%)2-0 (12%)1-1 (11%)2-1 (10%)0-0 (7%)3-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 93% | 7% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 74% | 26% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 49% | 51% | - |
| 3.5 | 28% | 73% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 13% | 87% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
Machida Zel…+4
Gap#5
Kashima
WR 100% 9 pts
WR 0% 7 pts
Machida Zelvia
14.0%
| Mar 14 | Machida… v Kashiwa… | 0-0 |
| Mar 10 | Machida… v Gangwon… | 1-0 |
| Mar 03 | Machida… v Gangwon… | 0-0 |
| Feb 27 | Machida… v JEF Uni… | 2-1 |
| Feb 21 | Machida… v Tokyo V… | 2-2 |
| Feb 17 | Machida… v Chengdu… | 3-2 |
| Feb 14 | Machida… v Mito Ho… | 2-2 |
| Feb 10 | Machida… v Shangha… | 0-2 |
| Feb 06 | Machida… v Yokoham… | 2-3 |
| Dec 09 | Machida… v Ulsan H… | 3-1 |
Kashima
14.0%
| Mar 15 | Kashima v FC Gifu | 2-1 |
| Mar 14 | Kashima v Kawasak… | 1-0 |
| Mar 07 | Kashima v Tokyo V… | 0-0 |
| Feb 28 | Kashima v Urawa | 2-3 |
| Feb 28 | Kashima v Sagan T… | 0-1 |
| Feb 28 | Kashima v Júbilo … | 0-0 |
| Feb 22 | Kashima v Renofa … | 1-0 |
| Feb 21 | Kashima v Kashiwa… | 2-0 |
| Feb 21 | Kashima v Omiya A… | 6-0 |
| Feb 15 | Kashima v FC Ryuk… | 3-1 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Jun 21, 2025 | Machida Zelvia | 2-1 | Kashima |
| May 03, 2025 | Kashima | 1-0 | Machida Zelvia |
| Dec 08, 2024 | Kashima | 3-1 | Machida Zelvia |
| May 22, 2024 | Machida Zelvia | 2-0 | Kashima |
Decision Breakdown
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
86%
Market
51%
High draw risk (47%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Kashima in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.