Liga de ExpansiĂłn MX · Mar 21, 2026 01:00
Tepatitlán
PWR 35
Venados FC
PWR 35
Tepatitlán
PWR 35
1-0
predicted
Venados FC
PWR 35
57%
23%
20%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Tepatitlán to win (58% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
58%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (13%)2-0 (9%)1-0 (4%)3-1 (3%)2-1 (2%)1-1 (1%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
56%
Under 2.5
44%
BTTS
No
No 22%
Over 3.5
43%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Tepatitlán
WWLWD
STABLE
Venados FC
LLLWD
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Liga de ExpansiĂłn MX
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
Tepatitlánvs
0.25
Venados FCGoal Probability
Tepatitlán
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Venados FC
0
78%
1
20%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (10%)2-1 (10%)1-0 (9%)3-0 (9%)1-1 (8%)3-1 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 97% | 4% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 85% | 15% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 65% | 35% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 43% | 57% | - |
| 4.5 | 25% | 75% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 12% | 88% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 6% | 95% | UNDER |
League Position
#8
Tepatitlán+1
Gap#9
Venados FC
WR 50% 18 pts
WR 18% 18 pts
Tepatitlán
14.0%
| Mar 15 | Tepatit… v Monarcas | 1-2 |
| Mar 08 | Tepatit… v Mineros… | 4-0 |
| Mar 01 | Tepatit… v Tlaxcala | 1-0 |
| Feb 21 | Tepatit… v Irapuato | 2-1 |
| Feb 15 | Tepatit… v Leones … | 0-0 |
| Feb 07 | Tepatit… v Correca… | 2-1 |
| Jan 31 | Tepatit… v Dorados | 0-0 |
| Jan 24 | Tepatit… v TapatĂo | 2-0 |
| Jan 18 | Tepatit… v CDS Tam… | 0-1 |
| Jan 11 | Tepatit… v Atlante… | 1-1 |
Venados FC
6.0%
| Mar 07 | Venados… v Correca… | 0-1 |
| Feb 28 | Venados… v Mineros… | 2-0 |
| Feb 15 | Venados… v Monarcas | 2-1 |
| Feb 11 | Venados… v Cancún | 2-0 |
| Feb 07 | Venados… v Alebrij… | 3-3 |
| Jan 31 | Venados… v CA La P… | 1-0 |
| Jan 25 | Venados… v Dorados | 4-4 |
| Jan 16 | Venados… v TapatĂo | 4-2 |
| Jan 10 | Venados… v Irapuato | 4-1 |
| Nov 07 | Venados… v Tlaxcala | 5-1 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Oct 11, 2025 | Venados FC | 1-0 | Tepatitlán |
Decision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
61%
Market
50%
Key Factors
Tepatitlán in strong form (3W in last 5)
Venados FC struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.