Back Stats
A Lyga · Mar 21, 2026 12:15

Kauno Žalgiris
PWR 35
5-0
predicted

Sūduva Marijampolė
PWR 35
63% 21% 16%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Kauno Žalgiris Win
Score
5-0
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (25%)2-0 (22%)0-0 (15%)3-0 (12%)1-1 (5%)2-1 (4%)
All Markets
1X2 Suggested
H
Over 2.5
29%
Under 2.5 71%
71%
BTTS No
No 15%
Over 3.5
15%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Kauno Žalgiris WWWWW
UP
Sūduva Marijam… DLWDD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk31%
Accuracy38%
FORM_MOMENTUM
Standings data available (Tier 2)Both teams defensive = 40.0% draw rateH2H: 3/4 draws (75%) = VERY HIGH riskAway team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (30.9%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.70
Kauno Žalgiris
vs
0.20
Sūduva Marijam…
Goal Probability
Kauno Žalgi…
0
18%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4
6%
Sūduva Mari…
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (19%)2-0 (14%)0-0 (13%)1-1 (11%)2-1 (8%)0-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 87% 13% OVER
1.5 61% 39% -
2.5 34% 66% UNDER
3.5 15% 85% UNDER
4.5 6% 94% UNDER
5.5 2% 98% UNDER
6.5 1% 100% UNDER
League Position
#1
Kauno Žalgi…
+5
Gap
#6
Sūduva Mari…
WR 100% 15 pts WR 0% 6 pts
Kauno Žalgiris 20.0%
Mar 15 Kauno Ž… v Šiauliai 0-5
Mar 10 Kauno Ž… v Panevėž… 4-0
Mar 07 Kauno Ž… v Džiugas… 1-2
Feb 28 Kauno Ž… v Banga 1-0
Feb 23 Kauno Ž… v FK Trak… 1-2
Feb 16 Kauno Ž… v Panevėž… 1-0
Jan 30 Kauno Ž… v Dynamo … 0-0
Nov 08 Kauno Ž… v Banga 0-0
Nov 02 Kauno Ž… v Panevėž… 3-2
Oct 27 Kauno Ž… v Sūduva … 1-0
Sūduva Marijam… 10.0%
Mar 14 Sūduva … v Hegelma… 0-0
Mar 10 Sūduva … v FK Zalg… 1-0
Mar 07 Sūduva … v TransIN… 2-0
Mar 01 Sūduva … v Šiauliai 0-0
Feb 22 Sūduva … v Panevėž… 0-0
Feb 14 Sūduva … v BFC Dau… 5-3
Nov 08 Sūduva … v Hegelma… 2-1
Nov 02 Sūduva … v Šiauliai 2-2
Oct 27 Sūduva … v Kauno Ž… 1-0
Oct 23 Sūduva … v Dainava 2-1
Head-to-Head (4)
Oct 27, 2025 Sūduva Marija… 1-0 Kauno Žalgiris
Sep 24, 2025 Kauno Žalgiris 1-1 Sūduva Marija…
Jun 13, 2025 Sūduva Marija… 0-0 Kauno Žalgiris
Apr 12, 2025 Kauno Žalgiris 0-0 Sūduva Marija…
Decision Breakdown
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
87%
Standings
70%
Market
50%
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Kauno Žalgiris in strong form (5W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.