Paulista - A4 · Mar 21, 2026 18:00

Comercial
PWR 35
Joseense
PWR 35
PWR 35
1-0
predicted

Comercial
PWR 35
53%
23%
24%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Joseense to win (63% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
63%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (20%)0-0 (15%)2-0 (14%)1-1 (11%)0-1 (8%)2-1 (8%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
30%
Under 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
No
No 32%
Over 3.5
4%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Joseense
DDWWW
STABLE
Comercial
DWLLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Paulista
Expected Goals (xG)
1.37
Joseensevs
0.56
ComercialGoal Probability
Joseense
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
Comercial
0
57%
1
32%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (28%)1-0 (26%)2-0 (12%)0-1 (10%)1-1 (9%)2-1 (4%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 72% | 28% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 36% | 64% | - |
| 2.5 | 13% | 87% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#7
Joseense+5
Gap#12
Comercial
WR 50% 17 pts
WR 25% 7 pts
Joseense
16.0%
| Mar 14 | Joseense v Barretos | 1-1 |
| Mar 07 | Joseense v Tanabi | 0-0 |
| Mar 04 | Joseense v Colorad⦠| 2-0 |
| Feb 28 | Joseense v Taquari⦠| 0-1 |
| Feb 25 | Joseense v AEA | 2-0 |
| Feb 21 | Joseense v Naciona⦠| 0-1 |
| Feb 14 | Joseense v São Cae⦠| 0-0 |
| Feb 11 | Joseense v Jabaqua⦠| 0-2 |
| Feb 08 | Joseense v Inter d⦠| 0-3 |
| Jan 31 | Joseense v Peneden⦠| 2-0 |
Comercial
10.0%
| Mar 14 | Comerci⦠v AEA | 0-0 |
| Mar 07 | Comerci⦠v Naciona⦠| 2-0 |
| Mar 04 | Comerci⦠v São Cae⦠| 2-1 |
| Feb 28 | Comerci⦠v EC Leme⦠| 0-1 |
| Feb 25 | Comerci⦠v Colorad⦠| 1-2 |
| Feb 21 | Comerci⦠v Barretos | 1-2 |
| Feb 14 | Comerci⦠v Grêmio ⦠| 1-0 |
| Feb 11 | Comerci⦠v Taquari⦠| 0-1 |
| Feb 03 | Comerci⦠v Peneden⦠| 1-2 |
| Jan 31 | Comerci⦠v ECUS | 1-1 |
Decision Breakdown
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
77%
Standings
70%
Market
50%
High draw risk (52%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Joseense in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.