Back Stats
Liga 3 · Mar 21, 2026 17:00

Varzim
PWR 35
1-0
predicted
União Santarém
PWR 35
45% 25% 30%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
PRO: Varzim to win (71% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
71%
TierPRO
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (20%)2-0 (19%)3-0 (12%)0-0 (11%)1-1 (7%)2-1 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
38%
Under 2.5 62%
62%
BTTS No
No 26%
Over 3.5
21%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Varzim LLLWL
DOWN
União Santarém LLWLL
DOWN
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League has >30% draw rate
High draw league: Liga 3
Expected Goals (xG)
1.87
Varzim
vs
0.37
União Santarém
Goal Probability
Varzim
0
15%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
União Santa…
0
69%
1
26%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (14%)1-1 (13%)2-0 (10%)0-0 (9%)2-1 (9%)0-1 (9%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 91% 9% OVER
1.5 68% 32% OVER
2.5 42% 58% -
3.5 21% 79% UNDER
4.5 9% 91% UNDER
5.5 3% 97% UNDER
6.5 1% 99% UNDER
League Position
#3
Varzim
+1
Gap
#4
União Santa…
WR 39% 28 pts WR 33% 25 pts
Varzim 4.0%
Mar 14 Varzim v CF Os B… 3-2
Mar 07 Varzim v Academi… 0-1
Feb 28 Varzim v Guimara… 3-0
Feb 21 Varzim v Trofense 2-0
Feb 15 Varzim v Mafra 1-0
Feb 07 Varzim v Amarante 2-1
Jan 25 Varzim v AD Marc… 1-3
Jan 17 Varzim v Sanjoan… 2-0
Jan 11 Varzim v Guimara… 1-2
Jan 04 Varzim v Fafe 1-0
União Santarém 4.0%
Mar 14 União S… v Amarante 1-2
Mar 08 União S… v CF Os B… 0-2
Mar 04 União S… v Mafra 3-1
Feb 28 União S… v Academi… 3-1
Feb 21 União S… v Guimara… 0-1
Feb 14 União S… v Trofense 1-2
Jan 24 União S… v CF Os B… 2-1
Jan 16 União S… v Mafra 0-0
Jan 11 União S… v Atlétic… 1-1
Jan 04 União S… v 1º Deze… 1-0
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
87%
Standings
53%
Market
50%
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Varzim struggling (4L in last 5)
União Santarém struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.