Primera DivisiĂłn · Mar 20, 2026 20:30
ADT
PWR 35
FBC Melgar
PWR 35
ADT
PWR 35
2-2
predicted
FBC Melgar
PWR 35
51%
24%
25%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
ADT Win
Score
2-2
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
3-1 (8%)3-0 (8%)2-1 (7%)2-0 (7%)3-2 (4%)1-1 (4%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
69%
69%
Under 2.5
31%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 62%
Over 3.5
12%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
ADT
WLDDL
STABLE
FBC Melgar
DLDLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateHome team draws 33% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (27.7%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
3.42
ADTvs
1.03
FBC MelgarGoal Probability
ADT
0
3%
1
11%
2
19%
3
22%
4
19%
FBC Melgar
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
7%
4
2%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (16%)0-1 (16%)1-0 (13%)1-1 (13%)0-2 (8%)1-2 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 84% | 16% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 55% | 45% | - |
| 2.5 | 28% | 72% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 12% | 89% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#10
ADT-3
Gap#7
FBC Melgar
WR 33% 8 pts
WR 33% 10 pts
ADT
8.0%
| Mar 14 | ADT v Sport H… | 0-1 |
| Mar 08 | ADT v Juan Pa… | 2-3 |
| Feb 27 | ADT v Alianza… | 0-0 |
| Feb 22 | ADT v UTC | 2-2 |
| Feb 14 | ADT v Deporti… | 1-0 |
| Feb 07 | ADT v Sport B… | 1-0 |
| Feb 01 | ADT v Univers… | 2-0 |
| Nov 23 | ADT v Comerci… | 0-0 |
| Nov 10 | ADT v Cultura… | 1-0 |
| Nov 01 | ADT v Deporti… | 1-0 |
FBC Melgar
4.0%
| Mar 15 | FBC Mel… v Atletic… | 0-0 |
| Mar 10 | FBC Mel… v Alianza… | 3-1 |
| Mar 06 | FBC Mel… v Ciencia… | 1-1 |
| Feb 27 | FBC Mel… v Cultura… | 1-2 |
| Feb 21 | FBC Mel… v FC Caja… | 3-1 |
| Feb 15 | FBC Mel… v UCV Moq… | 4-0 |
| Feb 08 | FBC Mel… v Sportin… | 1-2 |
| Jan 31 | FBC Mel… v Ciencia… | 2-0 |
| Jan 25 | FBC Mel… v Macará | 2-1 |
| Nov 01 | FBC Mel… v Alianza… | 2-2 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Aug 24, 2025 | ADT | 2-2 | FBC Melgar |
| Apr 05, 2025 | FBC Melgar | 4-0 | ADT |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
44%
Market
50%
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
FBC Melgar struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.