Primera División · Mar 18, 2026 21:00
Metropolitanos FC
PWR 35
Monagas SC
PWR 35
Metropolitanos FC
PWR 35
3-0
predicted
Monagas SC
PWR 35
53%
23%
24%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Metropolitanos FC Win
Score
3-0
Confidence
55%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (12%)2-0 (11%)3-1 (7%)1-0 (7%)2-1 (7%)1-1 (4%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.42x
DC X2
Away/Draw
2.03x
Over 2.5
63%
63%
Under 2.5
37%
BTTS
No 43%
Over 3.5
28%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Metropolitanos…
WWDWD
STABLE
Monagas SC
WWDLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy56%
POSITION_GAPTABLE_EXTREMES
Full data available (Tier 1)Home team draws 67% at home = very high riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesCombined DR 67% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (26.7%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
3.25
Metropolitanos…vs
0.60
Monagas SCGoal Probability
Metropolita…
0
4%
1
13%
2
21%
3
22%
4
18%
Monagas SC
0
55%
1
33%
2
10%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (12%)1-1 (11%)2-0 (10%)2-1 (10%)0-0 (7%)0-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 93% | 7% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 74% | 26% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 50% | 50% | - |
| 3.5 | 28% | 72% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 13% | 87% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#3
Metropolita…+8
Gap#11
Monagas SC
WR 33% 12 pts
WR 0% 6 pts
Metropolitanos…
16.0%
| Mar 14 | Metropo… v Trujill… | 0-1 |
| Mar 08 | Metropo… v Portugu… | 3-2 |
| Mar 04 | Metropo… v Caracas… | 0-0 |
| Mar 01 | Metropo… v Deporti… | 0-1 |
| Feb 20 | Metropo… v Carabob… | 1-1 |
| Feb 13 | Metropo… v UCV | 3-2 |
| Feb 08 | Metropo… v Real Es… | 2-2 |
| Jan 30 | Metropo… v Puerto … | 1-1 |
| Nov 09 | Metropo… v Deporti… | 2-0 |
| Nov 05 | Metropo… v Carabob… | 0-4 |
Monagas SC
10.0%
| Mar 14 | Monagas… v Academi… | 1-0 |
| Mar 08 | Monagas… v Trujill… | 3-1 |
| Mar 04 | Monagas… v Puerto … | 0-0 |
| Feb 27 | Monagas… v Portugu… | 4-0 |
| Feb 22 | Monagas… v Deporti… | 2-3 |
| Feb 13 | Monagas… v Carabob… | 1-0 |
| Feb 07 | Monagas… v UCV | 0-3 |
| Jan 31 | Monagas… v Real Es… | 2-0 |
| Nov 08 | Monagas… v Zamora | 1-0 |
| Nov 04 | Monagas… v Puerto … | 3-2 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Aug 30, 2025 | Monagas SC | 2-0 | Metropolitano… |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Metropolitano… | 2-2 | Monagas SC |
Decision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
72%
Market
53%
High draw risk (51%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Metropolitanos FC in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.