Liga Pro · Mar 19, 2026 21:30
Orense SC
PWR 35
Mushuc Runa
PWR 35
Orense SC
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Mushuc Runa
PWR 35
41%
26%
33%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (18%)3-0 (15%)1-0 (15%)2-1 (7%)0-0 (6%)3-1 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
49%
Under 2.5
51%
BTTS
No
No 28%
Over 3.5
5%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Orense SC
LDLDL
STABLE
Mushuc Runa
DLDDD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk34%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateHome team draws 50% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateAway team drew 4/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesCombined DR 75% = 50.7% draw rate
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.45
Orense SCvs
0.36
Mushuc RunaGoal Probability
Orense SC
0
9%
1
21%
2
26%
3
21%
4
13%
Mushuc Runa
0
70%
1
25%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (26%)1-0 (22%)0-1 (14%)1-1 (11%)2-0 (9%)2-1 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 74% | 26% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 39% | 61% | - |
| 2.5 | 16% | 85% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#14
Orense SC-2
Gap#12
Mushuc Runa
WR 0% 2 pts
WR 0% 3 pts
Orense SC
4.0%
| Mar 15 | Orense … v Emelec | 2-1 |
| Mar 10 | Orense … v Manta | 1-1 |
| Mar 06 | Orense … v Macará | 0-1 |
| Feb 28 | Orense … v Tecnico… | 1-1 |
| Feb 21 | Orense … v LDU Qui… | 1-2 |
| Dec 21 | Orense … v Liberta… | 3-2 |
| Dec 14 | Orense … v FC Barc… | 2-1 |
| Dec 06 | Orense … v LDU Qui… | 2-1 |
| Nov 29 | Orense … v Univers… | 0-0 |
| Nov 23 | Orense … v Indepen… | 0-0 |
Mushuc Runa
8.0%
| Mar 15 | Mushuc … v Macará | 0-0 |
| Mar 07 | Mushuc … v Indepen… | 3-1 |
| Mar 01 | Mushuc … v Univers… | 0-0 |
| Feb 21 | Mushuc … v Aucas | 1-1 |
| Nov 29 | Mushuc … v Cuniburo | 0-0 |
| Nov 22 | Mushuc … v Tecnico… | 1-0 |
| Nov 08 | Mushuc … v Manta | 3-0 |
| Nov 01 | Mushuc … v Tecnico… | 0-0 |
| Oct 25 | Mushuc … v Manta | 1-1 |
| Oct 18 | Mushuc … v Cuniburo | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Sep 14, 2025 | Orense SC | 3-1 | Mushuc Runa |
| May 17, 2025 | Mushuc Runa | 2-5 | Orense SC |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
46%
Market
50%
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Orense SC struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.