Liga Pro · Mar 17, 2026 21:30

Universidad CatĂłlica
PWR 35
4-1
predicted

Deportivo Cuenca
PWR 35
41% 26% 33%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Universidad CatĂłlica Win
Score
4-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (25%)1-0 (20%)0-1 (14%)1-1 (12%)2-0 (8%)2-1 (5%)
All Markets
1X2 Suggested
H
DC 1X 82%
Home/Draw
1.28x
DC X2
Away/Draw
2.38x
Over 2.5
17%
Under 2.5 83%
83%
BTTS No
No 25%
Over 3.5
12%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Universidad Ca… DWDLW
STABLE
Deportivo Cuen… DWWWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Both teams defensive = 40.0% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (27.4%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.83
Universidad Ca…
vs
0.57
Deportivo Cuen…
Goal Probability
Universidad…
0
44%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
Deportivo C…
0
57%
1
32%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (16%)0-1 (16%)1-0 (14%)1-1 (13%)0-2 (8%)1-2 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 84% 16% OVER
1.5 55% 45% -
2.5 28% 72% UNDER
3.5 12% 88% UNDER
4.5 4% 96% UNDER
5.5 1% 99% UNDER
6.5 0% 100% UNDER
League Position
#7
Universidad…
-4
Gap
#3
Deportivo C…
WR 100% 5 pts WR 50% 7 pts
Universidad Ca… 12.0%
Mar 15 Univers… v LDU Qui… 1-1
Mar 08 Univers… v Leones … 3-0
Mar 01 Univers… v Mushuc … 0-0
Feb 13 Univers… v Juventud 3-4
Feb 06 Univers… v Juventud 0-1
Jan 25 Univers… v Coquimb… 0-0
Jan 25 Univers… v Sportin… 3-1
Jan 23 Univers… v Wandere… 1-2
Jan 20 Univers… v Central… 0-0
Jan 20 Univers… v Huachip… 2-4
Deportivo Cuen… 14.0%
Mar 14 Deporti… v Leones … 1-1
Mar 08 Deporti… v Aucas 0-1
Mar 05 Deporti… v Liberta… 3-0
Mar 01 Deporti… v Barcelo… 2-1
Feb 22 Deporti… v Delfín … 1-0
Feb 08 Deporti… v Guayaqu… 0-0
Dec 20 Deporti… v Emelec 5-1
Dec 13 Deporti… v Macará 0-1
Dec 06 Deporti… v Delfín … 0-0
Dec 03 Deporti… v Univers… 0-0
Head-to-Head (10)
Dec 03, 2025 Deportivo Cue… 0-0 Universidad C…
Sep 28, 2025 Universidad C… 2-1 Deportivo Cue…
Jun 01, 2025 Deportivo Cue… 3-1 Universidad C…
Aug 18, 2024 Deportivo Cue… 1-2 Universidad C…
Mar 17, 2024 Universidad C… 3-3 Deportivo Cue…
Oct 07, 2023 Deportivo Cue… 2-3 Universidad C…
May 06, 2023 Universidad C… 1-0 Deportivo Cue…
Aug 07, 2022 Universidad C… 0-2 Deportivo Cue…
Mar 22, 2022 Deportivo Cue… 0-2 Universidad C…
Oct 02, 2021 Universidad C… 3-2 Deportivo Cue…
Decision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
42%
Market
60%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Deportivo Cuenca in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.