Liga Pro · Mar 23, 2026 21:30
Guayaquil City
PWR 35
Leones del Norte
PWR 35
Guayaquil City
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Leones del Norte
PWR 35
43%
25%
32%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (20%)2-0 (15%)0-0 (13%)1-1 (10%)2-1 (8%)3-0 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
32%
Under 2.5
68%
68%
BTTS
No
No 32%
Over 3.5
2%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Guayaquil City
DLDLD
STABLE
Leones del Nor…
DLDDD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk37%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateHome team draws 100% at home = very high riskPoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateAway team drew 4/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesAway draws 67% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 167% = 50.7% draw rate
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.50
Guayaquil Cityvs
0.52
Leones del Nor…Goal Probability
Guayaquil C…
0
22%
1
34%
2
25%
3
13%
4
5%
Leones del …
0
60%
1
31%
2
8%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (35%)1-0 (21%)0-1 (16%)1-1 (9%)2-0 (6%)0-2 (4%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 65% | 35% | - |
| 1.5 | 28% | 72% | UNDER |
| 2.5 | 9% | 91% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#15
Guayaquil C…-2
Gap#13
Leones del …
WR 0% 1 pts
WR 0% 3 pts
Guayaquil City
6.0%
| Mar 15 | Guayaqu… v Barcelo… | 0-0 |
| Mar 07 | Guayaqu… v DelfĂn … | 1-0 |
| Feb 28 | Guayaqu… v Aucas | 1-1 |
| Feb 22 | Guayaqu… v Indepen… | 2-0 |
| Feb 08 | Guayaqu… v Deporti… | 0-0 |
| Feb 05 | Guayaqu… v Barcelo… | 1-2 |
| Feb 01 | Guayaqu… v Barcelo… | 0-1 |
| Oct 18 | Guayaqu… v 9 de Oc… | 1-1 |
| Oct 12 | Guayaqu… v San Ant… | 1-3 |
| Oct 05 | Guayaqu… v Gualace… | 1-0 |
Leones del Nor…
8.0%
| Mar 14 | Leones … v Deporti… | 1-1 |
| Mar 08 | Leones … v Univers… | 3-0 |
| Feb 28 | Leones … v Liberta… | 1-1 |
| Feb 22 | Leones … v Macará | 0-0 |
| Oct 16 | Leones … v San Ant… | 1-1 |
| Oct 11 | Leones … v Gualace… | 2-3 |
| Oct 08 | Leones … v Emelec | 0-0 |
| Oct 03 | Leones … v UT Coto… | 1-0 |
| Sep 25 | Leones … v 9 de Oc… | 0-0 |
| Aug 22 | Leones … v Orense … | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Oct 18, 2024 | Guayaquil City | 2-0 | Leones del No… |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
80%
Standings
46%
Market
50%
High draw risk (51%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.