Major League Soccer · Mar 21, 2026 23:30
Atlanta United FC
PWR 35
DC United
PWR 35
Atlanta United FC
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
DC United
PWR 35
41%
26%
33%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (11%)2-0 (9%)3-1 (6%)2-1 (5%)1-0 (4%)1-1 (3%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
62%
62%
Under 2.5
38%
BTTS
No 43%
Over 3.5
51%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Atlanta United…
WLLLD
STABLE
DC United
WLLWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rate
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.2
Expected Goals (xG)
3.90
Atlanta United…vs
0.58
DC UnitedGoal Probability
Atlanta Uni…
0
2%
1
8%
2
15%
3
20%
4
20%
DC United
0
56%
1
33%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (9%)2-1 (9%)3-0 (9%)3-1 (8%)1-0 (7%)1-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 98% | 3% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 88% | 12% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 72% | 29% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 51% | 49% | - |
| 4.5 | 31% | 69% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 17% | 83% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
League Position
#10
Atlanta Uni…-5
Gap#5
DC United
WR 50% 3 pts
WR 50% 6 pts
Atlanta United…
6.0%
| Mar 14 | Atlanta… v Philade… | 3-1 |
| Mar 08 | Atlanta… v Real Sa… | 2-3 |
| Mar 01 | Atlanta… v San Jos… | 2-0 |
| Feb 21 | Atlanta… v FC Cinc… | 2-0 |
| Feb 14 | Atlanta… v FC Dall… | 0-0 |
| Feb 11 | Atlanta… v New Yor… | 3-2 |
| Feb 08 | Atlanta… v Houston… | 1-1 |
| Jan 30 | Atlanta… v Lexingt… | 4-0 |
| Oct 25 | Atlanta… v Portlan… | 2-2 |
| Oct 18 | Atlanta… v DC Unit… | 1-1 |
DC United
8.0%
| Mar 15 | DC Unit… v Chicago… | 1-2 |
| Mar 07 | DC Unit… v Inter M… | 1-2 |
| Mar 01 | DC Unit… v Austin | 1-0 |
| Feb 22 | DC Unit… v Philade… | 1-0 |
| Jan 31 | DC Unit… v Los Ang… | 4-1 |
| Oct 18 | DC Unit… v Atlanta… | 1-1 |
| Oct 04 | DC Unit… v Charlot… | 0-1 |
| Sep 27 | DC Unit… v Philade… | 0-6 |
| Sep 20 | DC Unit… v Inter | 3-2 |
| Sep 13 | DC Unit… v Orlando… | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Oct 18, 2025 | Atlanta Unite… | 1-1 | DC United |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
40%
Market
50%
Key Factors
Atlanta United FC struggling (3L in last 5)
DC United struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.