Serie A · Mar 19, 2026 00:30
Vasco DA Gama
PWR 35
Fluminense
PWR 35
Vasco DA Gama
PWR 35
1-2
predicted
Fluminense
PWR 35
41%
26%
33%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Fluminense Win
Score
1-2
Confidence
55%
TierGOLD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (17%)0-0 (16%)1-1 (13%)0-1 (12%)2-0 (9%)2-1 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.68x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.57x
Over 2.5
27%
Under 2.5
73%
73%
BTTS
No
No 35%
Over 3.5
31%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Vasco DA Gama
DWDDL
STABLE
Fluminense
WLWDD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy73%
HOME_LEAKINGAWAY_POSITION_GAPAWAY_TABLE_EXTREMES
Full data available (Tier 1)WR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateHome team draws 33% at home = very high riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesCombined DR 67% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (32.1%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
1.07
Vasco DA Gamavs
0.75
FluminenseGoal Probability
Vasco DA Ga…
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
Fluminense
0
47%
1
35%
2
13%
3
3%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (12%)1-0 (9%)2-1 (9%)0-1 (8%)1-2 (8%)2-0 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 94% | 6% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 77% | 23% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 54% | 46% | - |
| 3.5 | 32% | 69% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 16% | 84% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 7% | 93% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
League Position
#15
Vasco DA Ga…-12
Gap#3
Fluminense
WR 33% 5 pts
WR 33% 13 pts
Vasco DA Gama
10.0%
| Mar 15 | Vasco D… v Cruzeiro | 3-3 |
| Mar 12 | Vasco D… v Palmeir… | 2-1 |
| Mar 05 | Vasco D… v São Fra… | 2-2 |
| Mar 01 | Vasco D… v Flumine… | 1-1 |
| Feb 28 | Vasco D… v Galvez | 5-2 |
| Feb 26 | Vasco D… v Santos | 2-1 |
| Feb 22 | Vasco D… v Flumine… | 0-1 |
| Feb 15 | Vasco D… v Volta R… | 1-1 |
| Feb 12 | Vasco D… v Bahia | 0-1 |
| Feb 10 | Vasco D… v Indepen… | 1-3 |
Fluminense
12.0%
| Mar 15 | Flumine… v Athleti… | 3-2 |
| Mar 14 | Flumine… v Piauà | 3-1 |
| Mar 12 | Flumine… v Remo | 0-2 |
| Mar 08 | Flumine… v Flamengo | 0-0 |
| Mar 07 | Flumine… v Ferrovi… | 1-1 |
| Mar 01 | Flumine… v Vasco D… | 1-1 |
| Mar 01 | Flumine… v Santo A… | 1-1 |
| Feb 28 | Flumine… v Piauà | 0-1 |
| Feb 26 | Flumine… v Palmeir… | 2-1 |
| Feb 25 | Flumine… v São Ber… | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Mar 01, 2026 | Fluminense | 1-1 | Vasco DA Gama |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Vasco DA Gama | 0-1 | Fluminense |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Fluminense | 1-0 | Vasco DA Gama |
| Dec 11, 2025 | Vasco DA Gama | 2-1 | Fluminense |
| Oct 20, 2025 | Vasco DA Gama | 2-0 | Fluminense |
| May 24, 2025 | Fluminense | 2-1 | Vasco DA Gama |
| Feb 06, 2025 | Vasco DA Gama | 1-2 | Fluminense |
| Aug 11, 2024 | Vasco DA Gama | 2-0 | Fluminense |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Fluminense | 2-1 | Vasco DA Gama |
| Feb 15, 2024 | Fluminense | 0-0 | Vasco DA Gama |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
63%
Standings
30%
Market
38%
High draw risk (53%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.