Serie A · Mar 22, 2026 19:00
Athletico Paranaense
PWR 35
Coritiba
PWR 0
Athletico Paranaense
PWR 35
1-0
predicted
Coritiba
PWR 0
45%
25%
30%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
ELITE: Athletico Paranaense to win (95% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
95%
TierELITE
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (13%)1-1 (13%)0-0 (10%)0-1 (10%)2-0 (8%)2-1 (8%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
40%
Under 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
No 46%
Over 3.5
22%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense0
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Athletico Para…
LWWDW
STABLE
Coritiba
WWLDW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy38%
Limited data available (Tier 3)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.0 | Tier 3 data without strong odds (need 85%+)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.28
Athletico Para…vs
1.00
CoritibaGoal Probability
Athletico P…
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4
3%
Coritiba
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
2%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (13%)1-0 (13%)0-1 (9%)0-0 (9%)2-1 (9%)2-0 (9%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 91% | 9% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 69% | 31% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 43% | 57% | - |
| 3.5 | 22% | 78% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#10
Athletico P…-4
Gap#6
Coritiba
WR 50% 7 pts
WR 67% 10 pts
Athletico Para…
14.0%
| Mar 15 | Athleti… v Flumine… | 3-2 |
| Mar 07 | Athleti… v Santos | 2-1 |
| Mar 02 | Athleti… v Santos | 0-2 |
| Feb 25 | Athleti… v RB Brag… | 1-1 |
| Feb 22 | Athleti… v Flumine… | 1-3 |
| Feb 22 | Athleti… v Londrina | 0-1 |
| Feb 19 | Athleti… v Corinth… | 0-1 |
| Feb 15 | Athleti… v Londrina | 2-2 |
| Feb 12 | Athleti… v Santos | 2-1 |
| Feb 11 | Athleti… v Teresin… | 1-0 |
Coritiba
14.0%
| Mar 15 | Coritiba v Remo | 1-0 |
| Mar 12 | Coritiba v Corinth… | 0-2 |
| Feb 25 | Coritiba v São Pau… | 0-1 |
| Feb 11 | Coritiba v Chapeco… | 3-3 |
| Feb 06 | Coritiba v Cruzeiro | 1-2 |
| Jan 28 | Coritiba v RB Brag… | 0-1 |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
42%
Market
50%
High draw risk (48%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Athletico Paranaense in strong form (3W in last 5)
Coritiba in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.