Queensland NPL · Mar 20, 2026 09:30

Eastern Suburbs
PWR 35
5-3
predicted

Gold Coast Knights
PWR 35
31% 28% 41%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Eastern Suburbs Win
Score
5-3
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-2 (6%)3-2 (6%)2-1 (6%)3-1 (5%)2-3 (5%)1-2 (5%)
All Markets
1X2 Suggested
H
Over 2.5 79%
79%
Under 2.5
21%
BTTS Yes
Yes 84%
Over 3.5 84%
84%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Eastern Suburbs LWWLL
STABLE
Gold Coast Kni… WWWWD
UP
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_LEAKING
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (27.4%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.78
Eastern Suburbs
vs
2.26
Gold Coast Kni…
Goal Probability
Eastern Sub…
0
6%
1
17%
2
24%
3
22%
4
15%
Gold Coast …
0
10%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4
11%
CORRECT SCORES
3-2 (6%)4-2 (5%)2-2 (5%)3-1 (5%)3-3 (5%)2-1 (4%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 100% 0% OVER
1.5 98% 2% OVER
2.5 94% 7% OVER
3.5 84% 16% OVER
4.5 71% 30% OVER
5.5 54% 46% -
6.5 38% 62% -
League Position
#3
Eastern Sub…
+3
Gap
#6
Gold Coast …
WR 100% 6 pts WR 33% 4 pts
Eastern Suburbs 8.0%
Mar 14 Eastern… v Lions 0-3
Mar 07 Eastern… v Brisban… 0-4
Mar 01 Eastern… v Brisban… 3-2
Feb 21 Eastern… v Peninsu… 1-0
Sep 06 Eastern… v Moreton… 4-1
Aug 23 Eastern… v Lions 0-1
Aug 19 Eastern… v SC Wand… 1-5
Aug 15 Eastern… v Gold Co… 4-1
Aug 09 Eastern… v Gold Co… 2-1
Aug 02 Eastern… v WDSC Wo… 1-0
Gold Coast Kni… 18.0%
Mar 14 Gold Co… v Brisban… 0-2
Mar 08 Gold Co… v Brisban… 1-2
Mar 08 Gold Co… v Magic U… 0-7
Feb 28 Gold Co… v Rocheda… 3-4
Feb 27 Gold Co… v Lions 2-2
Feb 21 Gold Co… v Magic U… 3-1
Feb 20 Gold Co… v Moreton… 4-1
Jan 25 Gold Co… v Brisban… 5-2
Jan 17 Gold Co… v Brisban… 5-0
Aug 23 Gold Co… v SC Wand… 2-1
Head-to-Head (2)
Aug 15, 2025 Eastern Subur… 4-1 Gold Coast Kn…
Aug 09, 2025 Gold Coast Kn… 2-1 Eastern Subur…
Decision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
67%
Standings
75%
Market
50%
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Gold Coast Knights in strong form (4W in last 5)
Eastern Suburbs struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.