Queensland NPL · Mar 21, 2026 09:00
Rochedale Rovers
PWR 35
Moreton City Excelsior
PWR 35
PWR 35
7-0
predicted
Rochedale Rovers
PWR 35
51%
24%
25%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Moreton City Excelsior Win
Score
7-0
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (11%)3-0 (10%)2-1 (9%)1-0 (9%)3-1 (8%)1-1 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
61%
61%
Under 2.5
39%
BTTS
Yes 51%
Over 3.5
76%
76%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Moreton City E…
LLWWW
DOWN
Rochedale Rove…
WLLLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk24%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (24.1%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.60
Moreton City E…vs
0.80
Rochedale Rove…Goal Probability
Moreton Cit…
0
7%
1
19%
2
25%
3
22%
4
14%
Rochedale R…
0
45%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
3-2 (6%)2-2 (6%)3-1 (6%)2-1 (6%)4-2 (5%)4-1 (4%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 100% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 97% | 3% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 89% | 11% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 77% | 24% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 60% | 40% | - |
| 5.5 | 42% | 58% | - |
| 6.5 | 27% | 73% | UNDER |
League Position
#9
Moreton Cit…+3
Gap#12
Rochedale R…
WR 100% 3 pts
WR 0% 0 pts
Moreton City E…
12.0%
| Mar 06 | Moreton… v WDSC Wo… | 3-0 |
| Feb 28 | Moreton… v Brisban… | 2-1 |
| Feb 20 | Moreton… v Gold Co… | 4-1 |
| Nov 29 | Moreton… v Marconi… | 1-0 |
| Nov 22 | Moreton… v Avondale | 1-3 |
| Nov 14 | Moreton… v Melbour… | 3-3 |
| Nov 08 | Moreton… v Sydney … | 3-3 |
| Nov 02 | Moreton… v Broadme… | 5-1 |
| Oct 26 | Moreton… v Sydney … | 1-2 |
| Oct 19 | Moreton… v Melbour… | 2-0 |
Rochedale Rove…
8.0%
| Mar 14 | Rocheda… v Brisban… | 1-0 |
| Mar 06 | Rocheda… v Lions | 1-3 |
| Feb 28 | Rocheda… v Gold Co… | 3-4 |
| Feb 21 | Rocheda… v WDSC Wo… | 0-3 |
| Sep 06 | Rocheda… v Broadbe… | 3-0 |
| Aug 27 | Rocheda… v Logan L… | 2-1 |
| Aug 24 | Rocheda… v Ipswich | 2-0 |
| Aug 16 | Rocheda… v Logan L… | 3-2 |
| Aug 08 | Rocheda… v Broadbe… | 1-1 |
| Aug 02 | Rocheda… v Brisban… | 2-1 |
Decision Breakdown
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
91%
Standings
85%
Market
50%
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Moreton City Excelsior in strong form (3W in last 5)
Rochedale Rovers struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.