Queensland Premier League · Mar 21, 2026 09:00

Caboolture
PWR 35
5-0
predicted

Logan Lightning
PWR 35
43% 25% 32%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Logan Lightning Win
Score
5-0
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (8%)3-1 (8%)2-0 (7%)2-1 (7%)1-0 (4%)1-1 (4%)
All Markets
1X2 Suggested
H
Over 2.5 68%
68%
Under 2.5
32%
BTTS
Yes 60%
Over 3.5
54%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Caboolture DWWLL
STABLE
Logan Lightning DDWLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy38%
HOME_LEAKING
Standings data available (Tier 2)Points within 3 = 32.1% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (27.2%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
3.55
Caboolture
vs
0.95
Logan Lightning
Goal Probability
Caboolture
0
3%
1
10%
2
18%
3
21%
4
19%
Logan Light…
0
39%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
2-1 (9%)1-1 (8%)3-1 (7%)2-2 (7%)1-2 (6%)2-0 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 98% 2% OVER
1.5 90% 10% OVER
2.5 74% 26% OVER
3.5 54% 46% -
4.5 34% 66% UNDER
5.5 19% 81% UNDER
6.5 10% 90% UNDER
League Position
#2
Caboolture
+4
Gap
#6
Logan Light…
WR 100% 6 pts WR 0% 3 pts
Caboolture 10.0%
Mar 07 Caboolt… v Ipswich 1-1
Feb 28 Caboolt… v Robina … 3-1
Feb 21 Caboolt… v Capalaba 1-3
Aug 24 Caboolt… v Brisban… 0-3
Aug 16 Caboolt… v Magic U… 2-1
Aug 09 Caboolt… v Redland… 2-7
Jul 18 Caboolt… v Holland… 1-3
Jul 04 Caboolt… v Capalaba 4-1
Jun 28 Caboolt… v Capalaba 1-2
Jun 14 Caboolt… v Ipswich 0-1
Logan Lightning 12.0%
Mar 14 Logan L… v Robina … 1-1
Mar 07 Logan L… v Capalaba 0-0
Feb 28 Logan L… v North S… 4-0
Feb 20 Logan L… v Holland… 2-0
Aug 30 Logan L… v Brisban… 1-0
Aug 27 Logan L… v Rocheda… 2-1
Aug 24 Logan L… v Broadbe… 1-1
Aug 16 Logan L… v Rocheda… 3-2
Aug 03 Logan L… v Magic U… 5-0
Jul 04 Logan L… v Holland… 0-1
Decision Breakdown
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
86%
Market
50%
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.