Azerbaijan Premier League · Mar 20, 2026 11:00
Kəpəz
PWR 35
Qarabağ FK
PWR 35
Kəpəz
PWR 35
1-4
predicted
Qarabağ FK
PWR 35
35%
27%
38%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Qarabağ FK Win
Score
1-4
Confidence
50%
TierGOLD
LIKELY SCORES
1-2 (10%)1-1 (10%)0-2 (8%)0-1 (8%)1-3 (7%)2-2 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
61%
61%
Under 2.5
39%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 61%
Over 3.5
43%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Kəpəz
DDLWL
STABLE
Qarabağ FK
WWWDL
UP
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk22%
Accuracy73%
AWAY_FORM_DOMINANTAWAY_POINTS_GAPAWAY_TABLE_EXTREMES
Standings data available (Tier 2)Home team drew 2/5 recent gamesElevated draw risk (21.5%) - consider AHElite league - reduced threshold
Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
1.22
Kəpəzvs
2.03
Qarabağ FKGoal Probability
Kəpəz
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
Qarabağ FK
0
13%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (10%)1-2 (9%)0-1 (7%)2-1 (7%)0-2 (7%)2-2 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 85% | 16% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 65% | 35% | - |
| 3.5 | 43% | 57% | - |
| 4.5 | 24% | 76% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 12% | 88% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
League Position
#10
Kəpəz-8
Gap#2
Qarabağ FK
WR 20% 17 pts
WR 80% 52 pts
Kəpəz
8.0%
| Mar 15 | Kəpəz v Turan T… | 1-1 |
| Mar 09 | Kəpəz v Zira | 2-2 |
| Mar 05 | Kəpəz v Turan T… | 0-2 |
| Feb 27 | Kəpəz v Sumqayıt | 3-0 |
| Feb 22 | Kəpəz v Sabah FA | 1-0 |
| Feb 15 | Kəpəz v Neftchi… | 1-3 |
| Feb 09 | Kəpəz v Mil-Muğ… | 0-0 |
| Feb 05 | Kəpəz v Turan T… | 1-0 |
| Jan 31 | Kəpəz v Şamaxı | 0-2 |
| Jan 24 | Kəpəz v Qarabağ… | 0-2 |
Qarabağ FK
14.0%
| Mar 14 | Qarabağ… v Zira | 1-3 |
| Mar 08 | Qarabağ… v Araz | 6-0 |
| Mar 04 | Qarabağ… v Şamaxı | 3-1 |
| Mar 01 | Qarabağ… v Sabah FA | 3-3 |
| Feb 24 | Qarabağ… v Newcast… | 3-2 |
| Feb 18 | Qarabağ… v Newcast… | 1-6 |
| Feb 14 | Qarabağ… v Mil-Muğ… | 0-1 |
| Feb 10 | Qarabağ… v Şamaxı | 1-2 |
| Feb 05 | Qarabağ… v Şamaxı | 2-1 |
| Feb 01 | Qarabağ… v Turan T… | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Jan 24, 2026 | Qarabağ FK | 0-2 | Kəpəz |
| Oct 04, 2025 | Qarabağ FK | 1-0 | Kəpəz |
| May 18, 2025 | Kəpəz | 3-0 | Qarabağ FK |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Qarabağ FK | 0-0 | Kəpəz |
| Oct 18, 2024 | Kəpəz | 0-5 | Qarabağ FK |
| Aug 09, 2024 | Qarabağ FK | 3-0 | Kəpəz |
| Mar 29, 2024 | Kəpəz | 1-6 | Qarabağ FK |
| Jan 27, 2024 | Kəpəz | 1-2 | Qarabağ FK |
| Nov 04, 2023 | Qarabağ FK | 7-1 | Kəpəz |
| Aug 27, 2023 | Qarabağ FK | 1-1 | Kəpəz |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
38%
Standings
34%
Market
50%
High draw risk (45%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Qarabağ FK in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.