National Soccer League · Mar 21, 2026 13:00

Police
PWR 35
2-1
predicted

Etincelles
PWR 35
39% 26% 35%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Police Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
55%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (36%)1-0 (30%)2-0 (12%)0-1 (7%)1-1 (6%)3-0 (3%)
All Markets
1X2 Suggested
H
Over 2.5
8%
Under 2.5 92%
92%
BTTS No
No 10%
Over 3.5
1%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Police DLDDD
STABLE
Etincelles DDDDW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
STANDARD · 2 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk36%
Accuracy56%
POSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)H2H: 4/10 draws (40%) = VERY HIGH riskAway team drew 4/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskHome team drew 4/5 recent gamesAway draws 55% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 80% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (35.9%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.81
Police
vs
0.20
Etincelles
Goal Probability
Police
0
45%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
Etincelles
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (43%)1-0 (25%)0-1 (12%)2-0 (7%)1-1 (7%)2-1 (2%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 57% 43% -
1.5 21% 79% UNDER
2.5 6% 95% UNDER
3.5 1% 99% UNDER
4.5 0% 100% UNDER
5.5 0% 100% UNDER
6.5 0% 100% UNDER
League Position
#5
Police
+10
Gap
#15
Etincelles
WR 50% 37 pts WR 9% 21 pts
Police 8.0%
Mar 16 Police v Gicumbi 0-0
Mar 09 Police v Al Merr… 0-1
Mar 01 Police v Muhanga 1-1
Feb 25 Police v Rutsiro 0-0
Feb 20 Police v APR 1-1
Feb 13 Police v Rayon S… 0-1
Feb 08 Police v AS Kiga… 0-1
Jan 11 Police v Kiyovu … 0-0
Jan 08 Police v Al Merr… 1-1
Jan 03 Police v Gorilla 4-0
Etincelles 12.0%
Mar 14 Etincel… v Rutsiro 0-0
Mar 08 Etincel… v Rayon S… 1-1
Mar 01 Etincel… v AS Kiga… 0-0
Feb 21 Etincel… v Gicumbi 1-1
Feb 15 Etincel… v Muhanga 2-1
Feb 07 Etincel… v Musanze 1-0
Jan 31 Etincel… v Mukura 1-0
Jan 11 Etincel… v Bugesera 1-2
Jan 08 Etincel… v Al Hila… 2-0
Jan 03 Etincel… v AS Kiga… 0-1
Head-to-Head (10)
Dec 20, 2025 Etincelles 0-1 Police
May 27, 2025 Police 3-3 Etincelles
Sep 18, 2024 Etincelles 0-0 Police
Feb 04, 2024 Police 1-1 Etincelles
Sep 17, 2023 Etincelles 1-0 Police
Apr 29, 2023 Etincelles 1-0 Police
Oct 21, 2022 Police 2-1 Etincelles
Apr 23, 2022 Etincelles 1-0 Police
Dec 19, 2021 Police 3-0 Etincelles
May 16, 2021 Etincelles 1-1 Police
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
68%
Standings
80%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.