Liga Portugal 2 · Mar 20, 2026 18:00
Chaves
PWR 35
União de Leiria
PWR 35
Chaves
PWR 35
1-2
predicted
União de Leiria
PWR 35
43%
25%
32%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Chaves Win
Score
1-2
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
3-1 (7%)2-1 (6%)3-2 (6%)2-2 (6%)1-1 (4%)3-0 (4%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
76%
76%
Under 2.5
24%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 79%
Over 3.5
41%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Chaves
WWLWL
STABLE
União de Leiria
LWWWD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk33%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_LEAKING
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team draws 38% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 1/3 draws (33%) = HIGH riskCombined DR 69% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (33.3%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
3.11
Chavesvs
1.78
União de LeiriaGoal Probability
Chaves
0
5%
1
14%
2
22%
3
22%
4
17%
União de Le…
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4
7%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (10%)2-1 (9%)1-2 (8%)2-2 (7%)1-0 (6%)0-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 84% | 17% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 63% | 37% | - |
| 3.5 | 41% | 59% | - |
| 4.5 | 23% | 77% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
League Position
#9
Chaves-3
Gap#6
União de Le…
WR 31% 36 pts
WR 39% 38 pts
Chaves
12.0%
| Mar 13 | Chaves v Sportin… | 0-1 |
| Mar 06 | Chaves v Académi… | 1-0 |
| Feb 28 | Chaves v Vizela | 3-2 |
| Feb 22 | Chaves v Farense | 2-0 |
| Feb 14 | Chaves v Feirense | 1-0 |
| Feb 06 | Chaves v Penafie… | 0-1 |
| Jan 31 | Chaves v Felguei… | 1-0 |
| Jan 24 | Chaves v Lusitân… | 2-2 |
| Jan 17 | Chaves v Benfica… | 1-0 |
| Jan 11 | Chaves v MarÃtimo | 2-3 |
União de Leiria
14.0%
| Mar 15 | União d… v MarÃtimo | 1-2 |
| Mar 08 | União d… v Leixões… | 1-4 |
| Feb 28 | União d… v Portimo… | 1-0 |
| Feb 21 | União d… v Oliveir… | 2-4 |
| Feb 15 | União d… v FC Port… | 2-2 |
| Feb 08 | União d… v Torreen… | 3-1 |
| Jan 26 | União d… v Sportin… | 3-1 |
| Jan 21 | União d… v Vizela | 2-2 |
| Jan 16 | União d… v Académi… | 2-0 |
| Jan 11 | União d… v Moreire… | 3-1 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Nov 03, 2025 | União de Leir… | 2-1 | Chaves |
| May 10, 2025 | Chaves | 0-2 | União de Leir… |
| Jan 12, 2025 | União de Leir… | 1-1 | Chaves |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
84%
Standings
44%
Market
50%
Key Factors
Chaves in strong form (3W in last 5)
União de Leiria in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.