Eredivisie · Mar 22, 2026 15:45
Groningen
PWR 35
AZ Alkmaar
PWR 35
Groningen
PWR 35
2-2
predicted
AZ Alkmaar
PWR 35
35%
27%
38%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
AZ Alkmaar Win
Score
2-2
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (19%)2-0 (15%)0-0 (13%)1-1 (11%)2-1 (8%)3-0 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
34%
Under 2.5
66%
66%
BTTS
No
No 33%
Over 3.5
37%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Groningen
DWLLL
STABLE
AZ Alkmaar
WLWLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk24%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_FORM_DOMINANT
Standings data available (Tier 2)WR diff only 4% = 35.1% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw rateH2H: 1/4 draws (25%) = HIGH riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (24.4%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
1.52
Groningenvs
0.55
AZ AlkmaarGoal Probability
Groningen
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4
5%
AZ Alkmaar
0
58%
1
32%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (10%)1-2 (10%)0-1 (9%)0-2 (9%)1-3 (7%)0-3 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 95% | 5% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 81% | 19% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 59% | 41% | - |
| 3.5 | 37% | 63% | - |
| 4.5 | 20% | 80% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 9% | 91% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
League Position
#10
Groningen-4
Gap#6
AZ Alkmaar
WR 39% 35 pts
WR 43% 42 pts
Groningen
6.0%
| Mar 13 | Groning… v PEC Zwo… | 1-1 |
| Mar 07 | Groning… v Ajax | 3-1 |
| Mar 01 | Groning… v FC Vole… | 3-2 |
| Feb 22 | Groning… v FC Twen… | 2-1 |
| Feb 14 | Groning… v Utrecht | 1-2 |
| Feb 08 | Groning… v PSV Ein… | 1-2 |
| Jan 31 | Groning… v Sparta … | 2-0 |
| Jan 25 | Groning… v Fortuna… | 1-2 |
| Jan 18 | Groning… v Heerenv… | 0-2 |
| Jan 10 | Groning… v NAC Bre… | 0-0 |
AZ Alkmaar
12.0%
| Mar 15 | AZ Alkm… v Heracles | 4-0 |
| Mar 07 | AZ Alkm… v PSV Ein… | 2-1 |
| Mar 04 | AZ Alkm… v Telstar | 2-1 |
| Mar 01 | AZ Alkm… v Utrecht | 2-0 |
| Feb 26 | AZ Alkm… v Artsakh | 4-0 |
| Feb 22 | AZ Alkm… v Sparta … | 3-1 |
| Feb 19 | AZ Alkm… v Artsakh | 1-0 |
| Feb 14 | AZ Alkm… v Excelsi… | 1-2 |
| Feb 08 | AZ Alkm… v Ajax | 1-1 |
| Feb 03 | AZ Alkm… v FC Twen… | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Aug 10, 2025 | AZ Alkmaar | 4-1 | Groningen |
| May 11, 2025 | AZ Alkmaar | 3-0 | Groningen |
| Dec 18, 2024 | AZ Alkmaar | 3-1 | Groningen |
| Aug 25, 2024 | Groningen | 0-0 | AZ Alkmaar |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
80%
Standings
42%
Market
50%
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
AZ Alkmaar in strong form (3W in last 5)
Groningen struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.