Eerste Divisie · Mar 22, 2026 15:45

MVV Maastricht
PWR 35
1-1
predicted

Willem II
PWR 35
35% 27% 38%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (10%)1-2 (9%)0-1 (7%)0-2 (7%)2-1 (7%)2-2 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5 62%
62%
Under 2.5
38%
BTTS Yes
Yes 63%
Over 3.5
42%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
MVV Maastricht LWDDL
STABLE
Willem II WDWLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Eerste Divisie
Expected Goals (xG)
1.35
MVV Maastricht
vs
1.91
Willem II
Goal Probability
MVV Maastri…
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
Willem II
0
15%
1
28%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
CORRECT SCORES
0-2 (11%)0-3 (10%)1-2 (9%)0-1 (9%)1-3 (8%)1-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 96% 4% OVER
1.5 84% 16% OVER
2.5 64% 36% -
3.5 42% 58% -
4.5 24% 76% UNDER
5.5 12% 88% UNDER
6.5 5% 95% UNDER
League Position
#15
MVV Maastri…
-10
Gap
#5
Willem II
WR 40% 35 pts WR 44% 50 pts
MVV Maastricht 8.0%
Mar 16 MVV Maa… v Jong AZ 1-0
Mar 13 MVV Maa… v VVV Ven… 2-1
Mar 06 MVV Maa… v Dordrec… 1-1
Feb 27 MVV Maa… v De Graa… 3-3
Feb 22 MVV Maa… v Roda 2-0
Feb 13 MVV Maa… v ADO Den… 3-0
Feb 06 MVV Maa… v Jong PSV 2-1
Feb 02 MVV Maa… v Almere … 1-1
Jan 30 MVV Maa… v FC Eind… 5-0
Jan 23 MVV Maa… v Jong Ut… 2-2
Willem II 14.0%
Mar 13 Willem … v FC OSS 1-3
Mar 08 Willem … v Den Bos… 1-1
Feb 27 Willem … v Emmen 0-3
Feb 24 Willem … v ADO Den… 0-1
Feb 20 Willem … v Vitesse 3-0
Feb 16 Willem … v Jong Ut… 1-1
Feb 08 Willem … v Waalwijk 2-1
Feb 02 Willem … v Jong Aj… 2-1
Jan 23 Willem … v VVV Ven… 2-1
Jan 18 Willem … v FC Eind… 0-2
Head-to-Head (2)
Oct 26, 2025 Willem II 2-2 MVV Maastricht
Apr 20, 2024 MVV Maastricht 1-1 Willem II
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
43%
Standings
30%
Market
50%
High draw risk (47%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Willem II in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.