Segunda División · Mar 21, 2026 13:00
Leganes
PWR 0
AD Ceuta FC
PWR 33
Leganes
PWR 0
0-1
predicted
AD Ceuta FC
PWR 33
31%
28%
41%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
MASTER: AD Ceuta FC to win (77% confidence)
Score
0-1
Confidence
77%
TierMASTER
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (18%)2-0 (15%)1-0 (9%)3-1 (4%)2-1 (3%)0-0 (2%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
57%
Under 2.5
43%
BTTS
No
No 18%
Over 3.5
38%
Team Comparison
0Attack38
0Defense58
Goals/G
0.01.3
Conc/G
0.01.4
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Leganes
LLDDL
DOWN
AD Ceuta FC
LLWWW
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy38%
Limited data available (Tier 3)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateHome team drew 2/5 recent games
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.1 | Tier 3 data without strong odds (need 85%+)
Expected Goals (xG)
3.48
Leganesvs
0.21
AD Ceuta FCGoal Probability
Leganes
0
3%
1
11%
2
19%
3
22%
4
19%
AD Ceuta FC
0
81%
1
17%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (10%)2-1 (10%)1-0 (9%)1-1 (9%)3-0 (7%)3-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 82% | 18% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 60% | 40% | - |
| 3.5 | 38% | 62% | - |
| 4.5 | 21% | 80% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
League Position
#18
Leganes-9
Gap#9
AD Ceuta FC
WR 29% 34 pts
WR 20% 44 pts
Leganes
4.0%
| Mar 14 | Leganes v Vallado… | 3-2 |
| Mar 08 | Leganes v Eibar | 0-1 |
| Mar 02 | Leganes v Sportin… | 0-0 |
| Feb 21 | Leganes v Cultura… | 1-1 |
| Feb 14 | Leganes v Cordoba | 2-1 |
| Feb 06 | Leganes v Granada… | 1-0 |
| Jan 31 | Leganes v Burgos | 2-1 |
| Jan 24 | Leganes v Real So… | 2-0 |
| Jan 16 | Leganes v Castell… | 2-0 |
| Jan 11 | Leganes v Vallado… | 3-0 |
AD Ceuta FC
12.0%
| Mar 14 | AD Ceut… v Deporti… | 1-2 |
| Mar 08 | AD Ceut… v Las Pal… | 4-0 |
| Mar 01 | AD Ceut… v Mirandes | 0-1 |
| Feb 25 | AD Ceut… v Cordoba | 3-2 |
| Feb 20 | AD Ceut… v Granada… | 2-1 |
| Feb 15 | AD Ceut… v Huesca | 2-0 |
| Feb 01 | AD Ceut… v AlmerÃa | 4-2 |
| Jan 26 | AD Ceut… v Cultura… | 3-1 |
| Jan 17 | AD Ceut… v Vallado… | 0-3 |
| Jan 11 | AD Ceut… v Malaga | 2-1 |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
32%
Market
50%
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
AD Ceuta FC in strong form (3W in last 5)
Leganes struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.