Bundesliga · Mar 21, 2026 14:30

FC Koln
PWR 46
2-0
predicted

Borussia Mönchengladbach
PWR 4
37% 27% 36%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
MASTER: FC Koln to win (83% confidence)
Score
2-0
Confidence
83%
TierMASTER
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (13%)3-0 (12%)1-0 (9%)2-1 (8%)3-1 (7%)1-1 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
60%
Under 2.5
40%
BTTS
No 42%
Over 3.5
34%
Team Comparison
60Attack0
70Defense10
Goals/G
2.00.0
Conc/G
1.03.0
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
FC Koln DLLDL
STABLE
Borussia Mönch… WLWLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk25%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.1
Expected Goals (xG)
2.86
FC Koln
vs
0.59
Borussia Mönch…
Goal Probability
FC Koln
0
6%
1
16%
2
23%
3
22%
4
16%
Borussia Mö…
0
55%
1
33%
2
10%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (10%)1-1 (10%)2-0 (10%)2-1 (10%)3-0 (6%)3-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 95% 5% OVER
1.5 79% 21% OVER
2.5 56% 44% -
3.5 34% 67% UNDER
4.5 17% 83% UNDER
5.5 8% 92% UNDER
6.5 3% 97% UNDER
League Position
#14
FC Koln
-2
Gap
#12
Borussia Mö…
WR 31% 25 pts WR 23% 28 pts
FC Koln 4.0%
Mar 14 FC Koln v Hamburg… 1-1
Mar 07 FC Koln v Borussi… 1-2
Feb 27 FC Koln v FC Augs… 2-0
Feb 21 FC Koln v 1899 Ho… 2-2
Feb 14 FC Koln v VfB Stu… 3-1
Feb 08 FC Koln v RB Leip… 1-2
Jan 30 FC Koln v VfL Wol… 1-0
Jan 25 FC Koln v SC Frei… 2-1
Jan 17 FC Koln v FSV Mai… 2-1
Jan 14 FC Koln v Bayern … 1-3
Borussia Mönch… 8.0%
Mar 13 Borussi… v FC St. … 2-0
Mar 06 Borussi… v Bayern … 4-1
Feb 28 Borussi… v Union B… 1-0
Feb 22 Borussi… v SC Frei… 2-1
Feb 14 Borussi… v Eintrac… 3-0
Feb 07 Borussi… v Bayer L… 1-1
Jan 31 Borussi… v Werder … 1-1
Jan 25 Borussi… v VfB Stu… 0-3
Jan 17 Borussi… v Hamburg… 0-0
Jan 14 Borussi… v 1899 Ho… 5-1
Head-to-Head (1)
Nov 08, 2025 Borussia Mönc… 3-1 FC Koln
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
46%
Market
50%
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
FC Koln struggling (3L in last 5)
Borussia Mönchengladbach struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.