Bundesliga · Mar 21, 2026 17:30
Borussia Dortmund
PWR 47
Hamburger SV
PWR 29
Borussia Dortmund
PWR 47
4-1
predicted
Hamburger SV
PWR 29
49%
24%
27%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Borussia Dortmund Win
Score
4-1
Confidence
68%
TierGOLD
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (18%)1-0 (17%)0-1 (14%)1-1 (13%)2-0 (8%)2-1 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
24%
Under 2.5
76%
76%
BTTS
No
No 33%
Over 3.5
37%
Team Comparison
61Attack30
72Defense54
Goals/G
2.11.0
Conc/G
1.01.5
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Borussia Dortm…
WWLLD
STABLE
Hamburger SV
DWLLD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk25%
Accuracy73%
FORM_DOMINANTPOSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)Away team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (25.1%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.93
Borussia Dortm…vs
0.78
Hamburger SVGoal Probability
Borussia Do…
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
5%
4
1%
Hamburger SV
0
46%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (11%)2-1 (10%)1-0 (8%)2-0 (8%)1-2 (7%)2-2 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 95% | 5% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 81% | 19% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 60% | 40% | - |
| 3.5 | 37% | 63% | - |
| 4.5 | 20% | 80% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 9% | 91% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
League Position
#2
Borussia Do…+9
Gap#11
Hamburger SV
WR 77% 58 pts
WR 17% 30 pts
Borussia Dortm…
10.0%
| Mar 14 | Borussi… v FC Augs… | 2-0 |
| Mar 07 | Borussi… v FC Koln | 1-2 |
| Feb 28 | Borussi… v Bayern … | 2-3 |
| Feb 25 | Borussi… v Atalanta | 4-1 |
| Feb 21 | Borussi… v RB Leip… | 2-2 |
| Feb 17 | Borussi… v Atalanta | 2-0 |
| Feb 13 | Borussi… v FSV Mai… | 4-0 |
| Feb 07 | Borussi… v VfL Wol… | 1-2 |
| Feb 01 | Borussi… v FC Heid… | 3-2 |
| Jan 28 | Borussi… v Inter | 0-2 |
Hamburger SV
8.0%
| Mar 14 | Hamburg… v FC Koln | 1-1 |
| Mar 07 | Hamburg… v VfL Wol… | 1-2 |
| Mar 04 | Hamburg… v Bayer L… | 0-1 |
| Mar 01 | Hamburg… v RB Leip… | 1-2 |
| Feb 20 | Hamburg… v FSV Mai… | 1-1 |
| Feb 14 | Hamburg… v Union B… | 3-2 |
| Feb 07 | Hamburg… v FC Heid… | 0-2 |
| Jan 31 | Hamburg… v Bayern … | 2-2 |
| Jan 23 | Hamburg… v FC St. … | 0-0 |
| Jan 17 | Hamburg… v Borussi… | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Nov 08, 2025 | Hamburger SV | 1-1 | Borussia Dort… |
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
78%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.