Bundesliga · Mar 22, 2026 14:30
FSV Mainz 05
PWR 43
Eintracht Frankfurt
PWR 32
FSV Mainz 05
PWR 43
1-1
predicted
Eintracht Frankfurt
PWR 32
39%
26%
35%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (16%)1-0 (14%)3-0 (12%)2-1 (8%)1-1 (7%)3-1 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
51%
Under 2.5
49%
BTTS
No 37%
Over 3.5
23%
Team Comparison
45Attack60
78Defense33
Goals/G
1.52.0
Conc/G
0.82.3
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
FSV Mainz 05
WDDDD
STABLE
Eintracht Fran…
WDWLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk36%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateHome team draws 38% at home = very high riskH2H: 1/4 draws (25%) = HIGH riskHome team drew 4/5 recent gamesAway draws 46% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 85% = 50.7% draw rateElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.1
Expected Goals (xG)
2.29
FSV Mainz 05vs
0.53
Eintracht Fran…Goal Probability
FSV Mainz 05
0
10%
1
23%
2
27%
3
20%
4
12%
Eintracht F…
0
59%
1
31%
2
8%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (13%)1-0 (11%)0-1 (10%)0-0 (9%)2-1 (8%)1-2 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 92% | 9% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 70% | 30% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 45% | 55% | - |
| 3.5 | 23% | 77% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#13
FSV Mainz 05-6
Gap#7
Eintracht F…
WR 23% 27 pts
WR 23% 38 pts
FSV Mainz 05
12.0%
| Mar 15 | FSV Mai… v Werder … | 0-2 |
| Mar 12 | FSV Mai… v Sigma O… | 0-0 |
| Mar 07 | FSV Mai… v VfB Stu… | 2-2 |
| Feb 28 | FSV Mai… v Bayer L… | 1-1 |
| Feb 20 | FSV Mai… v Hamburg… | 1-1 |
| Feb 13 | FSV Mai… v Borussi… | 4-0 |
| Feb 07 | FSV Mai… v FC Augs… | 2-0 |
| Jan 31 | FSV Mai… v RB Leip… | 1-2 |
| Jan 24 | FSV Mai… v VfL Wol… | 3-1 |
| Jan 17 | FSV Mai… v FC Koln | 2-1 |
Eintracht Fran…
14.0%
| Mar 14 | Eintrac… v FC Heid… | 1-0 |
| Mar 08 | Eintrac… v FC St. … | 0-0 |
| Mar 01 | Eintrac… v SC Frei… | 2-0 |
| Feb 21 | Eintrac… v Bayern … | 3-2 |
| Feb 14 | Eintrac… v Borussi… | 3-0 |
| Feb 08 | Eintrac… v SV Elve… | 2-0 |
| Feb 06 | Eintrac… v Union B… | 1-1 |
| Jan 31 | Eintrac… v Bayer L… | 1-3 |
| Jan 31 | Eintrac… v Progrès… | 2-1 |
| Jan 28 | Eintrac… v Tottenh… | 0-2 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Nov 09, 2025 | Eintracht Fra… | 1-0 | FSV Mainz 05 |
| May 04, 2025 | FSV Mainz 05 | 1-1 | Eintracht Fra… |
| Dec 21, 2024 | Eintracht Fra… | 1-3 | FSV Mainz 05 |
| Jan 26, 2024 | Eintracht Fra… | 1-0 | FSV Mainz 05 |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
90%
Standings
38%
Market
50%
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Eintracht Frankfurt in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.