Bundesliga · Mar 22, 2026 16:30
FC St. Pauli
PWR 35
SC Freiburg
PWR 34
FC St. Pauli
PWR 35
1-0
predicted
SC Freiburg
PWR 34
51%
24%
25%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: FC St. Pauli to win (58% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
58%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (29%)0-0 (21%)2-0 (20%)3-0 (9%)1-1 (6%)0-1 (4%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
21%
Under 2.5
79%
79%
BTTS
No
No 14%
Over 3.5
9%
Team Comparison
0Attack47
100Defense51
Goals/G
0.01.6
Conc/G
0.01.7
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
FC St. Pauli
LDWWL
STABLE
SC Freiburg
LLDLW
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityHome team draws 33% at home = very high riskElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.37
FC St. Paulivs
0.20
SC FreiburgGoal Probability
FC St. Pauli
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
SC Freiburg
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (19%)1-0 (17%)0-1 (15%)1-1 (13%)2-0 (8%)2-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 81% | 19% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 50% | 50% | - |
| 2.5 | 24% | 76% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 9% | 91% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#16
FC St. Pauli-8
Gap#8
SC Freiburg
WR 33% 24 pts
WR 15% 34 pts
FC St. Pauli
10.0%
| Mar 13 | FC St. … v Borussi… | 2-0 |
| Mar 08 | FC St. … v Eintrac… | 0-0 |
| Feb 28 | FC St. … v 1899 Ho… | 0-1 |
| Feb 22 | FC St. … v Werder … | 2-1 |
| Feb 14 | FC St. … v Bayer L… | 4-0 |
| Feb 07 | FC St. … v VfB Stu… | 2-1 |
| Feb 03 | FC St. … v Bayer L… | 3-0 |
| Jan 31 | FC St. … v FC Augs… | 2-1 |
| Jan 27 | FC St. … v RB Leip… | 1-1 |
| Jan 23 | FC St. … v Hamburg… | 0-0 |
SC Freiburg
6.0%
| Mar 15 | SC Frei… v Union B… | 0-1 |
| Mar 12 | SC Frei… v Genk | 1-0 |
| Mar 07 | SC Frei… v Bayer L… | 3-3 |
| Mar 01 | SC Frei… v Eintrac… | 2-0 |
| Feb 22 | SC Frei… v Borussi… | 2-1 |
| Feb 14 | SC Frei… v 1899 Ho… | 3-0 |
| Feb 07 | SC Frei… v Werder … | 1-0 |
| Feb 01 | SC Frei… v VfB Stu… | 1-0 |
| Jan 29 | SC Frei… v Lille | 1-0 |
| Jan 25 | SC Frei… v FC Koln | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Nov 09, 2025 | SC Freiburg | 2-1 | FC St. Pauli |
| Feb 15, 2025 | FC St. Pauli | 0-1 | SC Freiburg |
| Sep 28, 2024 | SC Freiburg | 0-3 | FC St. Pauli |
| Sep 28, 2024 | SC Freiburg | 0-3 | FC St. Pauli |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
82%
Standings
34%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
SC Freiburg struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.