Serie B · Mar 17, 2026 19:00
Spezia
PWR 30
Empoli
PWR 34
Spezia
PWR 30
1-2
predicted
Empoli
PWR 34
53%
23%
24%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Spezia Win
Score
1-2
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
3-1 (8%)2-1 (8%)3-0 (8%)2-0 (8%)1-1 (5%)1-0 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.48x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.7x
Over 2.5
69%
69%
Under 2.5
31%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 62%
Over 3.5
37%
Team Comparison
26Attack35
60Defense62
Goals/G
0.91.2
Conc/G
1.31.3
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Spezia
LWDLW
STABLE
Empoli
DLLDD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk30%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_LEAKING
Full data available (Tier 1)WR diff only 2% = 35.1% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 4/7 draws (57%) = VERY HIGH riskAway team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (29.6%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
3.07
Speziavs
1.05
EmpoliGoal Probability
Spezia
0
5%
1
14%
2
22%
3
22%
4
17%
Empoli
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
7%
4
2%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (10%)2-1 (10%)1-0 (9%)2-0 (8%)3-1 (6%)1-2 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 95% | 5% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 81% | 19% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 60% | 40% | - |
| 3.5 | 37% | 63% | - |
| 4.5 | 20% | 80% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 9% | 91% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
League Position
#19
Spezia-6
Gap#13
Empoli
WR 27% 29 pts
WR 29% 32 pts
Spezia
10.0%
| Mar 13 | Spezia v Modena | 3-0 |
| Mar 07 | Spezia v Monza | 4-2 |
| Mar 03 | Spezia v Padova | 2-2 |
| Feb 28 | Spezia v Reggian… | 0-1 |
| Feb 21 | Spezia v Cesena | 2-3 |
| Feb 15 | Spezia v Frosino… | 0-2 |
| Feb 11 | Spezia v Bari | 0-0 |
| Feb 07 | Spezia v Virtus … | 1-1 |
| Jan 31 | Spezia v Sampdor… | 1-0 |
| Jan 24 | Spezia v Avellino | 1-0 |
Empoli
6.0%
| Mar 14 | Empoli v Mantova | 2-2 |
| Mar 08 | Empoli v Catanza… | 3-2 |
| Mar 04 | Empoli v Bari | 2-1 |
| Feb 28 | Empoli v Cesena | 1-1 |
| Feb 20 | Empoli v Frosino… | 2-2 |
| Feb 15 | Empoli v Reggian… | 1-1 |
| Feb 11 | Empoli v Juve St… | 1-2 |
| Feb 07 | Empoli v Palermo | 3-2 |
| Jan 31 | Empoli v Modena | 0-0 |
| Jan 23 | Empoli v Carrare… | 3-0 |
Head-to-Head (7)
| Sep 14, 2025 | Empoli | 1-1 | Spezia |
| Jul 26, 2024 | Empoli | 2-0 | Spezia |
| Feb 11, 2023 | Empoli | 2-2 | Spezia |
| Aug 14, 2022 | Spezia | 1-0 | Empoli |
| Apr 09, 2022 | Empoli | 0-0 | Spezia |
| Dec 19, 2021 | Spezia | 1-1 | Empoli |
| Jun 19, 2020 | Spezia | 1-0 | Empoli |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
38%
Market
43%
High draw risk (51%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.