Serie B · Mar 17, 2026 19:00
Venezia
PWR 47
Padova
PWR 32
Venezia
PWR 47
4-1
predicted
Padova
PWR 32
57%
23%
20%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
1X (Home/Draw)
Double Chance · Odds imply 73% home + 17% draw = 90% combined
95%
accuracy
1.16x
Final Verdict
Prediction
Venezia Win
Score
4-1
Confidence
77%
TierPREMIUM
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (11%)2-0 (8%)3-1 (7%)2-1 (5%)1-0 (4%)1-1 (3%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
90%
Home/Draw
1.16x
DC X2
Away/Draw
3.84x
Over 2.5
63%
63%
Under 2.5
37%
BTTS
No 45%
Over 3.5
62%
62%
Team Comparison
60Attack29
74Defense63
Goals/G
2.01.0
Conc/G
0.91.2
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Venezia
DWWDW
STABLE
Padova
LLDWD
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk25%
Accuracy77%
FORM_MOMENTUMFORM_DOMINANTPOSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAP
Full data available (Tier 1)Away team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (24.9%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
3.89
Veneziavs
0.62
PadovaGoal Probability
Venezia
0
2%
1
8%
2
16%
3
20%
4
20%
Padova
0
54%
1
33%
2
10%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
3-0 (11%)4-0 (10%)2-0 (9%)3-1 (7%)5-0 (7%)4-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 93% | 7% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 80% | 20% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 62% | 38% | - |
| 4.5 | 43% | 57% | - |
| 5.5 | 26% | 74% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 14% | 86% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
Venezia+10
Gap#11
Padova
WR 87% 64 pts
WR 33% 34 pts
Venezia
16.0%
| Mar 14 | Venezia v Sampdor… | 0-0 |
| Mar 07 | Venezia v Reggian… | 2-0 |
| Mar 03 | Venezia v Avellino | 4-0 |
| Feb 28 | Venezia v Sudtirol | 1-1 |
| Feb 21 | Venezia v Pescara | 3-2 |
| Feb 14 | Venezia v Cesena | 0-4 |
| Feb 10 | Venezia v Modena | 0-2 |
| Feb 07 | Venezia v Frosino… | 1-2 |
| Jan 31 | Venezia v Carrare… | 2-1 |
| Jan 24 | Venezia v Mantova | 2-5 |
Padova
8.0%
| Mar 14 | Padova v Catanza… | 1-3 |
| Mar 07 | Padova v Avellino | 1-0 |
| Mar 03 | Padova v Spezia | 2-2 |
| Feb 28 | Padova v Modena | 1-2 |
| Feb 21 | Padova v Bari | 1-1 |
| Feb 14 | Padova v Sampdor… | 1-0 |
| Feb 10 | Padova v Carrare… | 1-0 |
| Feb 07 | Padova v Juve St… | 3-3 |
| Feb 01 | Padova v Monza | 1-2 |
| Jan 25 | Padova v Sudtirol | 3-0 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Nov 22, 2025 | Padova | 0-2 | Venezia |
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)ODDS60+M70 (77.4%)M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
85%
Market
94%
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Venezia in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.