Serie B · Mar 18, 2026 19:00
Carrarese
PWR 35
Sampdoria
PWR 32
Carrarese
PWR 35
2-1
predicted
Sampdoria
PWR 32
47%
25%
28%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Carrarese Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (19%)2-0 (16%)0-0 (12%)1-1 (10%)3-0 (9%)2-1 (8%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.49x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.67x
Over 2.5
36%
Under 2.5
64%
64%
BTTS
No
No 32%
Over 3.5
10%
Team Comparison
42Attack29
56Defense62
Goals/G
1.41.0
Conc/G
1.51.3
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Carrarese
DLDDL
STABLE
Sampdoria
DLDLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk37%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team draws 40% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 2/4 draws (50%) = VERY HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesCombined DR 73% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (37.3%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.65
Carraresevs
0.50
SampdoriaGoal Probability
Carrarese
0
19%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4
6%
Sampdoria
0
61%
1
30%
2
8%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (18%)1-0 (17%)0-1 (13%)1-1 (13%)2-0 (9%)2-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 82% | 18% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 52% | 48% | - |
| 2.5 | 25% | 75% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#12
Carrarese+2
Gap#14
Sampdoria
WR 33% 33 pts
WR 7% 31 pts
Carrarese
6.0%
| Mar 14 | Carrare… v Juve St… | 1-1 |
| Mar 08 | Carrare… v Palermo | 0-1 |
| Mar 04 | Carrare… v Catanza… | 3-3 |
| Mar 01 | Carrare… v Mantova | 1-1 |
| Feb 21 | Carrare… v Monza | 0-1 |
| Feb 14 | Carrare… v Modena | 2-0 |
| Feb 10 | Carrare… v Padova | 1-0 |
| Feb 07 | Carrare… v Sudtirol | 0-0 |
| Jan 31 | Carrare… v Venezia | 2-1 |
| Jan 23 | Carrare… v Empoli | 3-0 |
Sampdoria
4.0%
| Mar 14 | Sampdor… v Venezia | 0-0 |
| Mar 08 | Sampdor… v Frosino… | 3-0 |
| Mar 04 | Sampdor… v Juve St… | 1-1 |
| Feb 27 | Sampdor… v Bari | 0-2 |
| Feb 21 | Sampdor… v Mantova | 2-1 |
| Feb 14 | Sampdor… v Padova | 1-0 |
| Feb 10 | Sampdor… v Palermo | 3-3 |
| Feb 07 | Sampdor… v Modena | 1-2 |
| Jan 31 | Sampdor… v Spezia | 1-0 |
| Jan 25 | Sampdor… v Catanza… | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Dec 07, 2025 | Sampdoria | 3-2 | Carrarese |
| Apr 25, 2025 | Carrarese | 1-0 | Sampdoria |
| Dec 26, 2024 | Sampdoria | 1-1 | Carrarese |
| Dec 26, 2024 | Sampdoria | 1-1 | Carrarese |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
82%
Standings
61%
Market
42%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Sampdoria struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.