Serie B · Mar 22, 2026 14:00
Bari
PWR 27
Carrarese
PWR 35
Bari
PWR 27
1-2
predicted
Carrarese
PWR 35
59%
22%
19%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Bari Win
Score
1-2
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (16%)2-0 (16%)3-0 (10%)1-1 (9%)0-0 (9%)2-1 (8%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
43%
Under 2.5
57%
BTTS
No 35%
Over 3.5
22%
Team Comparison
25Attack42
54Defense56
Goals/G
0.81.4
Conc/G
1.51.5
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Bari
WLWWD
STABLE
Carrarese
DLDDL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk39%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Home team draws 33% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 2/4 draws (50%) = VERY HIGH riskAway team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskAway draws 40% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 73% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (38.8%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.93
Barivs
0.53
CarrareseGoal Probability
Bari
0
15%
1
28%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
Carrarese
0
59%
1
31%
2
8%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (13%)1-1 (13%)2-0 (10%)0-0 (9%)2-1 (9%)0-1 (9%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 91% | 9% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 69% | 31% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 43% | 58% | - |
| 3.5 | 22% | 78% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 9% | 91% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#17
Bari-5
Gap#12
Carrarese
WR 33% 31 pts
WR 13% 33 pts
Bari
14.0%
| Mar 14 | Bari v Reggianā¦ | 4-1 |
| Mar 08 | Bari v Pescara | 4-0 |
| Mar 04 | Bari v Empoli | 2-1 |
| Feb 27 | Bari v Sampdorā¦ | 0-2 |
| Feb 21 | Bari v Padova | 1-1 |
| Feb 15 | Bari v Sudtirol | 1-2 |
| Feb 11 | Bari v Spezia | 0-0 |
| Feb 07 | Bari v Mantova | 2-1 |
| Jan 30 | Bari v Palermo | 0-3 |
| Jan 24 | Bari v Cesena | 1-2 |
Carrarese
6.0%
| Mar 14 | Carrareā¦ v Juve Stā¦ | 1-1 |
| Mar 08 | Carrareā¦ v Palermo | 0-1 |
| Mar 04 | Carrareā¦ v Catanzaā¦ | 3-3 |
| Mar 01 | Carrareā¦ v Mantova | 1-1 |
| Feb 21 | Carrareā¦ v Monza | 0-1 |
| Feb 14 | Carrareā¦ v Modena | 2-0 |
| Feb 10 | Carrareā¦ v Padova | 1-0 |
| Feb 07 | Carrareā¦ v Sudtirol | 0-0 |
| Jan 31 | Carrareā¦ v Venezia | 2-1 |
| Jan 23 | Carrareā¦ v Empoli | 3-0 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Jan 10, 2026 | Carrarese | 1-0 | Bari |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Carrarese | 2-1 | Bari |
| Oct 29, 2024 | Bari | 0-0 | Carrarese |
| Oct 29, 2024 | Bari | 0-0 | Carrarese |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
85%
Standings
40%
Market
50%
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Bari in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.