Ligue 1 · Mar 21, 2026 20:00
Nice
PWR 29
Paris Saint Germain
PWR 49
Nice
PWR 29
2-3
predicted
Paris Saint Germain
PWR 49
35%
27%
38%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Paris Saint Germain Win
Score
2-3
Confidence
74%
TierELITE
LIKELY SCORES
2-2 (7%)1-2 (6%)2-3 (6%)2-1 (5%)1-3 (5%)3-2 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
78%
78%
Under 2.5
22%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 82%
Over 3.5
53%
Team Comparison
41Attack65
43Defense76
Goals/G
1.42.2
Conc/G
1.90.8
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Nice
WLDLD
STABLE
Paris Saint Ge…
WLWDW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk25%
Accuracy88%
AWAY_FORM_MOMENTUMAWAY_FORM_DOMINANTAWAY_POSITION_GAPAWAY_POINTS_GAPAWAY_TABLE_EXTREMES
Standings data available (Tier 2)Home team draws 38% at home = very high riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (24.7%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
2.23
Nicevs
2.54
Paris Saint Ge…Goal Probability
Nice
0
11%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4
11%
Paris Saint…
0
8%
1
20%
2
25%
3
22%
4
14%
CORRECT SCORES
1-2 (9%)1-3 (8%)1-1 (7%)0-2 (7%)0-3 (6%)2-2 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 98% | 2% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 89% | 11% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 73% | 27% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 52% | 48% | - |
| 4.5 | 33% | 67% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 18% | 82% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 9% | 91% | UNDER |
League Position
#15
Nice-14
Gap#1
Paris Saint…
WR 31% 27 pts
WR 62% 57 pts
Nice
8.0%
| Mar 14 | Nice v Angers | 0-2 |
| Mar 08 | Nice v Rennes … | 0-4 |
| Mar 04 | Nice v Lorient | 0-0 |
| Mar 01 | Nice v Paris FC | 1-0 |
| Feb 22 | Nice v Lorient | 3-3 |
| Feb 15 | Nice v Lyon | 2-0 |
| Feb 08 | Nice v Monaco | 0-0 |
| Feb 04 | Nice v Montpel… | 3-2 |
| Feb 01 | Nice v Stade B… | 2-2 |
| Jan 29 | Nice v Ludogor… | 1-0 |
Paris Saint Ge…
14.0%
| Mar 11 | Paris S… v Chelsea | 5-2 |
| Mar 06 | Paris S… v Monaco | 1-3 |
| Feb 28 | Paris S… v LE Havr… | 0-1 |
| Feb 25 | Paris S… v Monaco | 2-2 |
| Feb 21 | Paris S… v Metz | 3-0 |
| Feb 17 | Paris S… v Monaco | 2-3 |
| Feb 13 | Paris S… v Rennes … | 3-1 |
| Feb 08 | Paris S… v Marseil… | 5-0 |
| Feb 01 | Paris S… v Strasbo… | 1-2 |
| Jan 28 | Paris S… v Newcast… | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Nov 01, 2025 | Paris Saint G… | 1-0 | Nice |
| Apr 25, 2025 | Paris Saint G… | 1-3 | Nice |
| May 15, 2024 | Nice | 1-2 | Paris Saint G… |
| Mar 13, 2024 | Paris Saint G… | 3-1 | Nice |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
47%
Standings
30%
Market
50%
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Paris Saint Germain in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.