Back Stats
Ligue 1 · Mar 22, 2026 16:15

Paris FC
PWR 31
1-1
predicted

LE Havre AC
PWR 30
49% 24% 27%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (28%)0-0 (26%)2-0 (14%)1-1 (8%)0-1 (8%)3-0 (5%)
All Markets
1X2 Suggested
H
Over 2.5
15%
Under 2.5 85%
85%
BTTS No
No 16%
Over 3.5
4%
Team Comparison
39Attack24
49Defense63
Goals/G
1.30.8
Conc/G
1.71.3
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Paris FC DDWDL
STABLE
LE Havre AC DLLLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk34%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team draws 33% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 6/10 draws (60%) = VERY HIGH riskHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.0
Expected Goals (xG)
1.04
Paris FC
vs
0.29
LE Havre AC
Goal Probability
Paris FC
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
7%
4
2%
LE Havre AC
0
75%
1
22%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (30%)1-0 (19%)0-1 (17%)1-1 (11%)2-0 (6%)0-2 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 71% 30% OVER
1.5 35% 66% UNDER
2.5 13% 88% UNDER
3.5 4% 96% UNDER
4.5 1% 99% UNDER
5.5 0% 100% UNDER
6.5 0% 100% UNDER
League Position
#13
Paris FC
+1
Gap
#14
LE Havre AC
WR 25% 28 pts WR 8% 27 pts
Paris FC 10.0%
Mar 15 Paris FC v Strasbo… 0-0
Mar 08 Paris FC v Lyon 1-1
Mar 01 Paris FC v Nice 1-0
Feb 21 Paris FC v Toulouse 1-1
Feb 14 Paris FC v Lens 0-5
Feb 08 Paris FC v Auxerre 0-0
Feb 04 Paris FC v Lorient 2-0
Jan 31 Paris FC v Marseil… 2-2
Jan 25 Paris FC v Angers 0-0
Jan 18 Paris FC v Nantes 1-2
LE Havre AC 6.0%
Mar 15 LE Havr… v Lyon 0-0
Mar 08 LE Havr… v Stade B… 2-0
Feb 28 LE Havr… v Paris S… 0-1
Feb 22 LE Havr… v Nantes 2-0
Feb 15 LE Havr… v Toulouse 2-1
Feb 08 LE Havr… v Strasbo… 2-1
Jan 30 LE Havr… v Lens 1-0
Jan 24 LE Havr… v Monaco 0-0
Jan 18 LE Havr… v Rennes … 1-1
Jan 04 LE Havr… v Angers 2-1
Head-to-Head (10)
Dec 07, 2025 LE Havre AC 0-0 Paris FC
Aug 02, 2025 Paris FC 1-1 LE Havre AC
Apr 19, 2025 Paris FC 2-1 LE Havre AC
Aug 16, 2024 LE Havre AC 1-4 Paris FC
Aug 16, 2024 LE Havre AC 1-4 Paris FC
Apr 27, 2024 Paris FC 3-3 LE Havre AC
Dec 03, 2023 LE Havre AC 0-2 Paris FC
Feb 03, 2023 LE Havre AC 0-0 Paris FC
Dec 30, 2022 Paris FC 0-0 LE Havre AC
Jan 17, 2022 Paris FC 2-2 LE Havre AC
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
71%
Standings
57%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
LE Havre AC struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.